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Crazy or Not Part 1


eagles123

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I think this analysis is simply wrong, and I think that the error that I see in it has also played a role in cyberyeti's approach.

 

I have no idea why anyone, looking at this hand after a 1 opening on one's right, would think that any minus score, let alone -100, would be 'golden'.

Well, I didn't say, and I don't believe, that -50 will be a good score. -100 almost certainly will be, though (yes, it loses to 2m=, but if they can take 8 tricks on defence to NT, they might just take 8 tricks on play to NT, or 9 in diamonds).

 

You'll note that I don't actually like the bid, because I don't think we're developing anything, and there are way too many downsides. If we are, we're in the danger zone that nobody can make anything, and that will be bad.

 

But yes, I missed the -90, and the possible defence of 2.

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In a recent online ACBL pairs game (IMP scoring), I picked up this collection, at favorable vul in 3rd seat:

 

Q7

KQJ85

A3

AJ42

 

My partner passed in first seat and my RHO opened 1. I chose to pass, and my opps had the following uncontested auction:

 

1 - 1

2 - 2

2NT - 3

P

 

At this point I had had enough, and I doubled. We collected 1100.

 

I will admit that opener's 2NT call was quite poor (s/he had Kx AT9xx QTxx Kx), but I was still getting 300 against 2 (perhaps 200 with some better declarer play) with only +130 in clubs available to us our way (partner was 4-0-4-5 with the K and the QT - even with the Kx of clubs onside, the opps have 4 spades and the A against NT and we cannot get 11 tricks in clubs unless they do something very silly - like lead the A).

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Overcalling 1NT looks like a reasonable bet. Presumably you are playing "system ON" responses. You would then be very well placed if partner bids 2 showing a 5 card spade suit. The danger is if partner has a weak hand with 5 diamonds and 4 spades. He may well then bid 2 Stayman and then pass your 2 response. It then could even be right to lie with a 2 bid to avoid this. Even with this risk I think it is better than pass. Not because it could be passed out but because it would be more dangerous to enter the bidding if say the bidding went 1-1NT-2-pass to you.

So you would overcall 1NT eh? Then LHO doubles(penalties) and it's passed round to you.....your play!

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So you would overcall 1NT eh? Then LHO doubles(penalties) and it's passed round to you.....your play!

You would need to tell us what partner's pass meant. For some, this would be a request for us to redouble, either to play there or to show two suits. For others, it would tell us that partner thinks 1NT is our best spot. Whatever runout method we are playing, it should be pretty obvious what overcaller's next move is.

 

Please note: this does not in any way mean that I am advocating the 1NT overcall. Nor does it mean that I think we will get a good score after such a double - Mike already made this point. It is only that the question of what to do after double and 2 passes has a simple answer.

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