To bid or not to bid, that is the question

[phoenix214]

Playing a pair tournament, Red vs Red, you pick up the following cards

♠:X

♥:Kxxxxx

♦:AJxxx

♣:x

One opp is expert one is advanced(you can say that)

The bidding goes - (3♠)-p-(4♠).

The question, is should you bid 4NT with this hand or not(As a defense to 4♠, or as a try to make something) I think you should bid green vs red, pass red vs green, but im not too sure about equal, so maybe someone can share their thoughts on this.

Thanks in advance

[CamHenry]

If anything I'd be more inclined to bid red-vs-green. Oppo could well be preempting on air, and I don't want to be talked out of anything. At favourable, they'll be sounder, so I consider pass.

 

I think I bid every time, but then I bid too much.

[bigbenvic]

At red vs red I would pass with suits that empty. The odds long term for me just don't stack up in favour of bidding.

 

The risk of having 5+ losers is too high for me. If partner has only 1 trick for me then I am in 800 territory. between us we could have 2 or 3 tricks in defense but there isn't enough 'power' in my 6-5 to warrant forcing to the 5 level at equal vul.

 

Also our hand isn't a wash defensively and there is no guarentee that they are making, I suspect the will but many more bad things could happen if I butt in, they could discover they have slam on or we could go for 500 when they are 1 off, or we could go for 800+ when they are making.