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What to lead?


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I'd ask the LHO for a better definition of waht his bid meant. (or ask RHO what LHOs bid meant to him).

 

Worst lead is underleading the A.

Leading an unsupported Ace doesn't sound like a good lead to me.

 

I can't tell what the opps estimated HCP holding is. Around 22? We have 18? Pard has close to 10 HCP, didnt overcall. Perhaps he has Clubs or Diiamonds, but not enough.

 

I'd lead a low .

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Difficult to make a reasonable decision without understanding our defensive methods over 1. For example what would double show?

 

Clubs?

A balanced hand with values?

Takeout of Hearts?

 

I need a damn good reason to lead (or underlead) an Ace.

A Club also seems problematic... Hate to find partner with Qxx or Qx.

 

A Heart could be good. Might kill a ruff in dummy.

Spades are somewhat tempting, however, I suspect that partner would have shown a decent Spade suit.

 

Mark me down for a Heart...

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Strange auction; sounds like RHO has a whole of of hearts and a max. Pard can't come in over 1. RHO also doesn't have a good side suit; I don't know moscito or the other transfer openings but it'd be nice to know what 2 and 3 rebids mean.

 

A is the last card I'd lead. A heart is safe, but I'm not sure I want to be safe.

 

For some reason the J seems to want to jump out of my hand. If I lead a heart I'm leading the 10.

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This is not a 1h -4h auction.

 

RHO must be very long in H or making very poor bid since:

LHO can be void in H

LHO can be long in any suit, note this was not denied in explanation otherwise not full disclosure.

RHO has not bid 2 or 3H.

 

Best guess is partner is around 4234, 4135, 3235 with approx. 10 HCP.

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curious why you would want to lead A diamonds, LHO  D bid is denial I assume does not promise and strength in D, so leading A diamond may win one trick but make two if RHO had K, so why lead it?

my reasons for leading it i stated above... might not be best reasons, but they're the only ones i have :)

 

i want to get a look at dummy and i want to get a signal from partner... my guess is, he has some strength and he can't double, he has decent diamonds and a (perhaps) finesseable spade or two...

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if i got a look at dummy's obvious shift suit and partner's signal, i'd know more... i'd at least know whether to continue diamonds or shift to o.s.... by inference i could tell something about the other suit

 

sure, leading the A could be wrong... but with my holding, a spade is the last thing i'd lead

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In our system, after 1, any bid by responder 1 and higher is less than invitational. 1-1 is all invite+ hands and 1-1 are less than invitational hands that don't have their own suit or want to check back for 5 with opener.

 

1-1-2/3/4 are all various preempts. Responder could be very weak with 0 hearts so the higher the heart level the more hearts are required.

 

The killer lead is hidden below. Highlight below this point to see the hidden text.

 

 

As it happens, any lead but a club lets the contract make. Without a club lead

declarer cashes singleton SA in hand and crosses to dummy in diamonds to play SK and pitch a losing club from hand.

 

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In our system, after 1, any bid by responder 1 and higher is less than invitational. 1-1 is all invite+ hands and 1-1 are less than invitational hands that don't have their own suit or want to check back for 5 with opener.

 

1-1-2/3/4 are all various preempts. Responder could be very weak with 0 hearts so the higher the heart level the more hearts are required.

 

The killer lead is hidden below. Highlight below this point to see the hidden text.

 

 

As it happens, any lead but a club lets the contract make. Without a club lead

declarer cashes singleton SA in hand and crosses to dummy in diamonds to play SK and pitch a losing club from hand.

Hi Todd

 

Sorry if this sounds cranky, but why should I care?

 

Is there a general principle that provides some value here, or is this just a random guessing game?

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Of course, opening leads are a guessing game. When this problem arose at the table, there was an advocate there for a lead of each of the suits. Granted, these people weren't very good so I wanted to see what the forums crowd would have to say. I see that there is no clear lead on this hand because the people here too have suggested the lead of every suit. I don't think there is any logic that really dictates that a lead is best but it was interesting to see everybody's arguments for their selected leads. Sorry if this discussion wasn't interesting for the rest of you.

 

Todd

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