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Obvious lead?


bridgeboy

Which card would you lead?  

22 members have voted

  1. 1. Which card would you lead?

    • A
      4
    • K
      3
    • J
      0
    • 7
      12
    • 2
      3
    • Heart
      0
    • Diamond
      0
    • Club
      0


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Hi all,

 

At imps, vul against not.

 

You sit West and hold:

 

AKJ72

76

854

432

 

South Opens 1NT and North raises to 3NT.

 

Your lead?

 

(You play 4th best leads. A asking for unblocking/count. K for attitude)

 

Would it be different at mps? Or if North invites with 3C (long club suit) and South accepts?

 

Thanks all.

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Certainly not obvious. Either honour or smallcard lead could work here. The problem with low lead is declarer may collect 9 tricks immediately. I think I will cash A first. This will lose only if spade is 33 between dummy and declarer and the q is in dummy, or pd has qx of spades.

 

 

Regards

 

Hongjun

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Spade honor wins whenever:

 

1. We can engineer a cashout when spades are 5-4 (doubtful, but possible, since there is probably an interior block).

 

2. We drop stiff Q, or Q dub.

 

3. We figure out a great switch at T2; attention Obvious Shifters!

 

4. We don't blow trick 9 at T1.

 

Low spade works when:

 

1. Spades are specifically 5=2=2=4, 5=3=2=3 or 5=4=2=2 (with the Qx) clockwise around the table.

 

2. We need to untangle the suit (pard has Qx for instance). Against this, we may have a disaster when pard finesses with Q8x and dummy holding the Txx.

 

Either works when spades are 5=2=3=3. However, low spade gives up trick (possibly 9th); high spade allows a shift and wait.

 

Low spade puts all your eggs in one or two baskets. High spade gives you 3 x or 4x ways to beat it.

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