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Has anything Ben taught me sunk in


sceptic

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Hi all, Merry Xmas.

 

I do not care about the bidding that is another issue

 

I don't care about the play.

 

I just want to know if my analysis was right or flawed.

 

here is the hand

 

[hv=d=s&v=a&n=sa9752ha9dj43cqt3&w=skqjh43daq952ckj2&e=shkqj87652d8ca975&s=st8643htdkt76c864]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

West North East South

 

 -     -     -     Pass

 1NT   Pass  2    Pass

 2    Pass  4NT   Pass

 5    Pass  6    Pass

 Pass  Pass  

 

We recieved a A heart lead follwed by a second heart.

 

I realsise A spade lead and we are home and dry for 12 tricks.

 

So here goes, my theory on how to make this.

 

Blue is correct as both Club and spade guard are with RHO

 

Loser count can be correct by pushing out the A hearts early in play

 

using the K spades and a small club I can have losers in both hand and enrties to both hands

 

KS KC JC declarer hand and AC xC xC

 

and E I think I have taken care of and forgot how I did :)

 

also I think on the leads we recieved there ca n be a simple squeeze a guard squeeze , I think a clash squeeze is impossible here

 

any way just want some opinions please

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12 tricks in form of 7, 2, 1, 2... just ruff out the Ace.

 

To get to your 11 tricks for the squeeze without ruffing out the spade king, you have to 1) hook the diamond king, and then 2) find club Queen Ten x in the same hand with the spade ACE (since the club threat is the nine in your hand, not the jack in dummy).

 

Blind odds of the squeeze is very low, diamond hook on, and then club QTx and spade ace in the same hand

 

Ben

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s offer the best chance: 50%. Squeeze needs K onside and other obligations, so the percentage play is play low to A and let the s run (and ruff if the Ace falls), discarding your 2 losers. K is your second entry to dummy.
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