An effective pre-empt?

[Lord Molyb]

edit: messed up the code

[hv=pc=n&e=skhakqt973daqj9ca&d=n&v=b&b=13&a=4cdp6sp]133|200[/hv]

[jdeegan]

:P 7NT - one of our major suits ought to run.

[gszes]

p is missing almost everything except spades and it is diffcult to imagine

this hand not having excellent play for 7s even though all we have is a singleton.

 

7n seems like it should also have a fair chance at success but if it goes down it might be by a TON

and its hard to imagine 7s going down more than 1. p could have bid 4s 5s but went all the way

to 6s so i am willing to take out a bit of insurance against a bad heart split and maybe still allow us to

make 7s by maybe ruffing 1h and taking the rest. The extra advantage of being able to do a ruffing

finesse with the heart T9 persuaded me).

[rmnka447]

If partner is not insane, partner must have a 12 card ♠ suit headed by the AQ and another card. Otherwise, he can't really know if slam can make be very sure slam will make.

 

I'm bidding 7 NT to get to the safest slam. So long as we can run ♠s, 13 tricks are there. 7 NT removes the only possibility of defeating the grand -- a ruff on the opening lead.

[MrAce]

I would place pd with 7 card spades headed by the AJ or AQ and a void (probably ♥ ) and having K in ♦ suit (depends on how good his spades are) and 3+ clubs

 

 

If he has

 

AQJxxxx (AQxxxxx)

void

xx

xxxx

 

then he may not have ♦ K, but if his spades are AJxxxxx he probably has the ♦ K

 

Some may think bidding 6♠ with only AJxxxx is nuts, but he is bidding under pressure after a heavy preempt and not expecting us to hold a stiff ♠ when we double 4♣, wouldn't you bid 6 with .....

 

AJxxxxx

void

Kx

xxxx

 

AJTxxxx

void

x

xxxxx

 

?

 

Idk , maybe we shouldn't bid slam with this....perhaps i am overbidding again...

 

If pd has hand#1 i constructed for example, we wanna be in 7♠ not NT

 

But still, imo if we are going to bid grandslam, that should be NT. Not only it plays better in long run but also avoids suffering from a club ruff at T1.