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awm

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I am surprised to see that we never finished last year's list... SEC bold, WAS underlined.

 

Ole Miss 25, Georgia Tech 17

Mississippi State 44, Rice 7

Texas A&M 52, Duke 48

Nebraska 24, Georgia 19

South Carolina 34, Wisconsin 24

LSU 21, Iowa 14

Oklahoma 45, Alabama 31

Missouri 41, Oklahoma State 31

Vanderbilt 41, Houston 24

Florida State 34, Auburn 31

 

3Years.....W-L....AS

2011-12*...5-2...4-3

2012-13....6-3...5-4

2013-14....7-3...6-4

 

*excluding SEC vs SEC national championship game

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I'm a little puzzled as to why the point spreads are so high. I'd think that if the committee is making all the pairings, they ought to be able to make pairings such that the point spreads are all 3 or less.

 

The committee's goal is "compelling" matchups, whatever that means; the committee has said it also considers geography and not repeating matchups from this season or recent bowls. Also, some bowls have conference contracts.

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Also, the point spreads are based on behavior of bettors, not on objective evaluation of the matchup.

 

Not entirely true. Depends a bit on the bookmaking operation how much shading in the line towards larger expected profits and how much risk they are comfortable with.

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I see that the almighty SEC west is now 2-5 in bowls. Interesting.

 

As I have it:

 

A&M (6th, SEC West) +8 West Virginia (6th, B12)

Arkansas (7th, SEC West) +24 Texas (5th, B12)

LSU (5th, SEC West) -3 Notre Dame (Indep, unranked)

Ga (2nd, SEC East) +23 Louisville (3rd, ACC Atlantic)

Alabama (1st, SEC West) -7 Ohio State (1st, B10 East) HELLUVA GAME -- OS ended up making the big plays (THAT OSU CATCH! THAT ALA MISSED TACKLE!) and showed an amazing O-line

Miss (3rd, SEC West) -39 TCU (2nd? 1st? B12) Turned this one off after M's first two possessions: Very clear that without their starting wideouts they had no chance to move the ball against TCU run protect

Miss St (2nd, SEC West) -15 Ga Tech (1st, ACC Coastal)

Auburn (4th, SEC West) -3 Wisconsin (1st, B10 West)

 

My conclusion is that a high-ranking team from another conference is as good as a high-ranking SEC team, but SEC low-ranking (even low in one division vs relatively high in another conference) are better than some highj-rankers from other conferences ==> SEC is strongest top to bottom. For the reasons stated above, I don't evaluate the TCU win as enthusiastically as most others. In context, I was surprised by LSU's flat performance and Ga Tech's win, but not by the rest.

 

And I note that the teams that tried the Trickeration Plays mostly won.

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