Jump to content

Low level decision


bluecalm

Recommended Posts

Tough problem.

 

I rule out 2, since my agreement (and I think it is a mainstream tho not universal one) is that a cuebid creates a force until we reach game or there has been suit agreement via a raise....which is tantamount to a gf in this situation (the only non-game contracts after a 2 advance of a takeout double of 1 are 4m).

 

I rule out 2N because it is an overbid and eliminates playing in hearts.

 

So I see the options as 1N, 2 and 3.

 

My tendencies here are to swing low, persuading myself that my spades are wasted (in hearts), RHO may overruff in that suit, my trump spots are horrible and so on. But at least on the forum I am going to make the call that I think is the technically best: 3.

 

I reject 1N altho I think that when it is right, it rates to be very right. I just feel that there is too much chance that we belong in hearts, and that we can't get there from 1N.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think I would bid 1NT - if partner can invite, I will still have time to bid , and my hand is in the upper limit of 1NT, but its within that limit imo.

If partner made an agressive t/o X 1NT may be our best spot. 2H seems an underbid, 3H just takes lots of space and 2NT is overbid imo.

http://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gifYu

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Really? You give up a natural constructive 1NT advance to a double, in favor of a lebenish 1NT? Or do you just never hold zero points?

 

1NT response is 0-6 any or a normal 1NT response. Doubler continuations are surprisingly simple:

 

pass = normal (when 1NT is terrible, they rescue us). And there's another way of looking at it - say we have a normal minimum double and normal minimum two-of a suit response - the situation basically doesn't exist, because 90% of the time they will compete in spades.

2 = a raise to 2NT

2+ = the same as if we continued over a 2 response, except that 2NT is 19-21 bal.

 

A hand from the Premier league on Saturday illustrates the benefits. You hold Axx Aqxx A qjxxx and they open One Spade in third seat. Playing this method you can double with a clear conscience. If partner responds 1NT you bid 2 (3+ clubs 16-18), and if he bids 2 (0-6 nat) you now bid 2 showing real clubs. If partner is 4342 with a bust, you have scrambled rather efficiently, and if he is 4243 he can go back to clubs. As it happens, partner had a 3433 pipless 7-count with four hearts and would scrape up 2 and you would bid 4. Our opponents overcalled 1NT and played there making 11 tricks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

I reject 1N altho I think that when it is right, it rates to be very right. I just feel that there is too much chance that we belong in hearts, and that we can't get there from 1N.

 

I disagree, we can still find hearts if partner bids 2N we can bid 3H and he will be able to work out our hand type. If partner has enough to bid 3N over 1N, then we will probably make no matter what, our hand is quite good. If partner is passing 1N, 1N is probably just as good of a partial as 2H most of the time.

 

Thats why I prefer 1N to 2H. Of course since you're choosing to invite it's all moot :P

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I bid 1N and it was winning action as even 2H was already down and it was +180 for us. Partner had 9x ATx K98x KQJx. I now wonder if 2N is better than 1N though; maybe QJ9x of spades would make it so?

I don't like the idea of forcing the bidding to what is often 7 trump 3 level partial with wasted values in spades ; I think we're often going down there on hands where there is easy 90/120 available; seems like clear mistake to me but none of my friends agree with me on this one.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Granted 1NT is clearly the winning action when the doubler has only three hearts. 1 - X. On which percentage of the boards does the doubler hold only three hearts? What's the histogram for doubler's heart holding?

Thinking wrong there. It is not the heart count that is particularly relevant. It is doubler's likely spade count (two on the auction) and the orientation of the advancer's hand. Looks like it belongs in NT if we play it, and the 1NT advance shows about 8-10. That is not a double-dummy evaluation.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the question is how often we miss 4H after 1NT which we wouldn't after 3H or 2S->3H and how often we miss 3NT/4H after 2H which we wouldn't after 1NT (I think both happens).

I also think it's clear 1NT will make more way more often than 3H and probably about as often as 2H. I have trouble believing partner has nice hand with 4 hearts which passes 1N but which bid 4H after 3H often enough to offset worse partials and NT games. 2 spades are not guaranteed though so such hands do exist (x AQxx xxxx KQJx or something) though it just seems to me they aren't that frequent.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I bid 1N and it was winning action as even 2H was already down and it was +180 for us. Partner had 9x ATx K98x KQJx. I now wonder if 2N is better than 1N though; maybe QJ9x of spades would make it so?

I don't like the idea of forcing the bidding to what is often 7 trump 3 level partial with wasted values in spades ; I think we're often going down there on hands where there is easy 90/120 available; seems like clear mistake to me but none of my friends agree with me on this one.

 

2N is foreign to me, but I and my partners are all on the super aggressive side of the scale when it comes to making white takeout doubles, so no doubt years of this has significantly impacted my judgement. It still feels wrong to me, we have no spot cards other than the ten of diamonds which is in our doubleton. Your idea about the 9 of spades is getting closer, but I'd still want more.

 

If game trying I like 2N a lot more than anything else

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thinking wrong there. It is not the heart count that is particularly relevant. It is doubler's likely spade count (two on the auction) and the orientation of the advancer's hand. Looks like it belongs in NT if we play it, and the 1NT advance shows about 8-10. That is not a double-dummy evaluation.

 

 

When doubler has only one spade, it increases the chances of opponents competing with 2.

 

Both heart and spade length matter. Estimating tricks is multi-way ANOVA. You are on to something in that when doubler has two spades, it is much less likely that we can make over one more trick in hearts than notrumps.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...