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Awkward Lead Choice


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Playing matchpoints against 2 of the best players in the club last night:

 

[hv=pc=n&n=sk64haj52dqj8ca86&d=w&v=e&b=16&a=p1n2np3dppp]133|200[/hv]

 

2NT showed both minors. What would you choose to lead? I'll reveal my choice afterwards although the full hand isn't particularly relevant.

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Might the 8 be better? I think pounding away at trumps is probably right. But, I'll lead the Eight.

 

+1. LHO came in R/W missing the QJ.

 

Declarer will not want to give up the tempo for three trump plays.

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This might be a sign not to lead trumps at all. Dummy's clubs are likely to be very good and it looks like they are breaking. I would prefer to play for a force, if only I knew which major to lead.

 

If I held two, or four trumps, a force would have a lot more appeal. With three, their trump are breaking, but if partner has some clubs (not unlikely), and declarer has short clubs (also not unlikely), trump need to be led asap.

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I nearly led the 8, but did not want to give declarer a possible entry that could let him lead up to the clubs.

 

If declarer has 10xx with AK9xx in dummy, do you expect him to play low fom dummy at trick 1?

 

Let's take a look, heart ace.

 

What's the hurry? You'll get to see dummy anyway.

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I nearly led the 8, but did not want to give declarer a possible entry that could let him lead up to the clubs.

 

If declarer has 10xx with AK9xx in dummy, do you expect him to play low from dummy at trick 1?

Perhaps I'm overthinking this (make a change!), but declarer might be desperate to get to his hand and without an immediate re-entry to dummy he may have little choice (in that it does not cost). On the other hand I would be pretty annoyed if it crashed a diamond honour in partner's hand (if he has the ten, for example). I expect by tomorrow I'll agree with the eight :)

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Playing matchpoints against 2 of the best players in the club last night:

 

[hv=pc=n&n=sk64haj52dqj8ca86&d=w&v=e&b=16&a=p1n2np3dppp]133|200[/hv]

 

2NT showed both minors. What would you choose to lead? I'll reveal my choice afterwards although the full hand isn't particularly relevant.

 

Too risky to lead a major. J

 

Steven

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