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Difficult math problem from Monaco - Netherlands match


bluecalm

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On the contrary! If, among the hands where 3NT is down, 2NT would have down as well, then you need even less for bidding game. -300 vs -200 is only 3 IMPs, better than -100 vs +120.

 

Would 2 also be down?

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Are you in troll mode ?

It wouldn't be down but obviously Helgemo couldn't know partner has super minimum and will pass 2N with 6 spades. WTF?

 

I think Helgemo should have passed 2. On boards where opponents open our side rarely has 9 tricks based solely on HCP. When we have 9 tricks, it is usually due to a long running suit. Of the set of hands which East can hold on this bidding very few would make game opposite Helgemo's hand.

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What is this talk that north might cover with the queen? When the jack is led to AKTxxx? I realize some of it was sarcastic but some of it seems serious. It's not like dummy had AKTxx, THEN north might cover with the queen (in fact it might be difficult not to).

 

He might cover with the queen from Q86x which is correct if declarer has J7.

Spades 4-0 is hugely unlikely though.

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Are you in troll mode ?

It wouldn't be down but obviously Helgemo couldn't know partner has super minimum and will pass 2N with 6 spades. WTF?

When you said "3NT is quite decent game" you were offering that as a justification for bidding 2NT. This argument was flawed because 3NT isn't a decent game if the alternative is to play 2. 3NT only became worth bidding once we gave up the chance to play in 2.

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He might cover with the queen from Q86x which is correct if declarer has J7.

Spades 4-0 is hugely unlikely though.

 

This, and obviously never ever cover from Qxx, but my point earlier was that covering with Qx seems normal since it can't cost and wins when partner has 9xxx and declarer stiff J, so you can probably strike some relevant hands from bluecalm's script earlier.

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