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Lead Problem


rogerclee

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If you told me I had to lead a club, I would join JLOGIC in the bar while you led a club. One of two things would then happen: your club lead would beat the hand and you would play the rest of the match while JLOGIC and I formed a mutual admiration society in the bar; or dummy would have Q98x and declarer ace third. Still, as we took our seats for the rest of the session, JLOGIC and I would be both agreed on the demerits of a club lead and a couple of beers to the good.

Save a spot at that bar for me. I agree with you guys here, and to pick both of your guys' minds would be a hell of a way to end a day in my opinion!

 

I talked about it with him irl already. FWIW I think H>S mainly because the 9 of hearts (Axx Jxx I'd lead a heart). I am not confident about this, a low spade is certainly reasonable, but I did say that double dummy simulations will support SA but that doesn't mean that much.

Did you mean that if you had a spot instead of the 9 you would lead a Spade? It's probably just a mistake, but at this point I'm too tired and not thinking too coherently.

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Save a spot at that bar for me. I agree with you guys here, and to pick both of your guys' minds would be a hell of a way to end a day in my opinion!

 

 

Did you mean that if you had a spot instead of the 9 you would lead a Spade? It's probably just a mistake, but at this point I'm too tired and not thinking too coherently.

 

Yes I did, sorry

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I'm in love with some of the stuff in the David Bird book, my partners correspondingly a little less in love with me as a result.

 

I think Justin captured very well why sim-based leads don't work quite as well in real life as they "should."

 

FWIW, I'd lead the sA with my usual partner (she'll just roll her eyes if it doesn't work well) and a low spade with anyone else.

 

I think it would be an interesting game to generate a bunch of lead problems and have you scored on opening lead via sims, tho :)

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dburn may have sounded like he was joking, but if you lead a spade I think you should definitely lead your middle one.

If you hid gold and find partner will Kxxxx or similar the one thing you want him to do is duck, which he will if he thinks you've led from two low or three low. he won't duck if you might have Hxxx.

 

You'll need to be playing smith peters or similar (e.g. some form of suit pref), and you'll also need to have agreed with partner that this is systemic, but it's definitely the right lead from that holding.

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