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From a doop


Phil

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[hv=pc=n&s=sa64haq5da642c853&n=skq72h982dj53ckq2&d=s&v=e&b=3&a=1n2h(+%20minor)3hp3nppp]266|200[/hv]

 

You open a shaded 1N and arrive in a sketchy 3N.

 

LHO leads the J - note: GIBs love short suit leads against NT, so don't think the spades are breaking.

 

Onward.

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UGHHHH this hand looks ugleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee sooooo

 

i picture lho with

 

x(x)

KJxxx

(K or Q) T9xx

A(x)

 

 

 

trick 1 spade K

trick 2 small dia hoping rho plays stiff honor if not we are probably doomed (win ace)

trick 3 small club if the hand i imagined exists lho is doomed to be endplayed

and we will score 2c 3s 2d 2h it is all just a matter of technique. The key is not winning

trick 1 in hand because with perfect defense we will have insufficint entries in hand to force

w into leading a heart for us.

 

 

assuming lho ducks the club

trick 3 win club and

trick 4 return SMALL club from dummy (hear roar of applause from crowd and be prepared

for board of inquiry) letting Ax catch air

trick 5 depends on what lho does if they return a heart game over

win in hand and lead dia toward J 2d 2h 3s 2c

 

if lho plays a small dia (our 2nd dia trick play the J cash the club

cash 2 spades wherever and lead a dia for endplay

 

if lho lead dia q and clears dia win the j cash club cash 2 spades ending in hand

lead the 4th dia for endplay

 

this is a very low % LOP but it does have the advantage of having a chance.

 

Any other LOP leaves us at least down 1. This line risks maybe down 2 (4c 1h 1d) but can make.

 

 

I can't picture any other lie of the cards that allows us to make with perfect defense unless it is

something like heart K onside and rho having KQ doubleton of dia a situation I think is far less

likely than my proposed LOP.

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[hv=pc=n&s=sa64haq5da642c853&n=skq72h982dj53ckq2&d=s&v=e&b=3&a=1n2h(+%20minor)3hp3nppp]266|200| Phil writres "You open a shaded 1N and arrive in a sketchy 3N. LHO leads the J - note: GIBs love short suit leads against NT, so don't think the spades are breaking. Onward.

 

Grasping at straws: hoping for defensive error(s): Win A. Lead to Q. Cash K (LHO shows out). Duck a (hoping for blocked position or defensive error - it's easier for RHO to make a mistake with lead from dummy). Win LHO's return. Lead to LHO's A. Win LHO's return with dummy's K. Duck to LHO. If LHO was dealt

- J KJxxxx KQ AJT9, then this line works legitimately. but it has chances when LHO has e.g.

- J KJTxxx QT AJT9, if LHO mistakenly cashes the fourth (exposing RHO to a pointed suit squeeze).

- IF LHO had held say Jx KJTxxx Q AJT9 then that line also works. After A,. Lead to Q. Cash K. Duck a to LHO's singleton honour., LHO exits with A and another. Duck a to LHO. Now: If LHO cashes another RHO is squeezed. Instead if LHO exits immediately in then RHO is thrown in to lead into the tenace [/hv]

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