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What is your call?  

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  1. 1. What is your call after 1S-1NT-2D-?



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2H for sure. Must be a pretty reasonable chance I catch a 5-2, or that if he has a stiff heart I survive and he's 6-4. Even if he bids 2N over 2H that is not so bad since I can bid 3C with a reasonable shot of him being 5143. And on a good day I will catch 3 card heart support, even getting raised I'd rather that than play 2D in a 4-2.

 

oops eliminated comment about 5332 cuz i cant read

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[hv=pc=n&s=sthj9865da3c98763&d=w&v=n&b=12&a=p1sp1np2dp]133|200|

jallerton writes "1NT= up to 12 points. You're playing 5-card majors and 2/1 game forcing. IMPs scoring. 2 is natural, showing 4+ and less than a game force".

 

 

IMO 2 = 10, Pass = 8, 2 = 6

[/hv]

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Thanks for the replies and votes. Here are my thoughts.

 

On a bad day, when you bid 2 you will be a 5-1 fit. [As partner has shown at least nine cards in the pointed suits and we have equal length in the other suits, partner's expected number of hearts is under 2.0, I claim.]

On a bad day, when you pass 2you will be a 4-2 fit.

If you bid 2 and partner passes you will probably be a 5-1 fit.

 

It's not a great problem to have, but how do the different potential six card fits compare?

 

4-2 fits do not normally play well. However, in this case at least we know that partner can win the presumed trump lead with the ace and perhaps score a quick spade ruff.

 

A 5-1 heart fit will not play too well as the trump suit is J98xx opposite a singleton. At least the quality of the trumps in the 5-1 fit will (usually) be better in spades.

 

Probably partner will pass with 5053 and I will regret this one

 

That's obviously the worst case scenario for 2, but even when we strike lucky and partner likes hearts, 2 will not necessarily lead to a good score, because partner will bid often bid on, expecting better hearts and/or more high cards.

 

When this came up, partner's hand was A8653 A4 KQJ84 Q. Like Phil352, my team-mate raised to 3 and declarer could only manage 7 tricks even with trumps 3-3. At my table, a pair of Norwegian internationals bid uncontested 1-1NT-2-2-4.

 

When partner has a good hand, the very best way to stop partner bidding on is to not give him a chance to do so. So I suspect that passing 2 is the best action here. With the same shape but a stronger hand (say an 8-count) now it makes a lot more sense to keep the bidding open.

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A similar hand years ago my father opted for the 4-2 and said: My experience is clear, this is the best on average.

 

On that particular hand we played on a 3-2 fit since I had 16-17 balanced and we had 8 card fit in his major. Still 2 scored very well in MPs for staying low enough after a friendly lead.

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I prefer 2 to be constructive in this sequence - something like 8-11 with a five card suit, or a bit less with a six card suit. Those hands are very hard to bid otherwise and IMO they are more frequent and more important to get right than the ones with a decent six card suit and not much else.
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