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MP play problem


rduran1216

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Duck the opening lead, (they continue), so I win. Maybe I know if Clubs are 4-4 or not by now?

 

There looks to be two lines:

knock out the A and then take the Diamond hook and make 11 tricks 18% of the time, 10 tricks some of the time (if, for example the opponents win the first Spade and Diamonds are 3-3 with the Queen offside), and I don't think I'll make 9 tricks very often at all - I'll probably go down if it doesn't work.

 

Alternatively, one can play on Hearts rather than Diamonds.

cross to dummy with the A and run the 9, then cross in Spades to run the J. For 9 it needs either clubs 4-4 with at least one Heart honour onside or clubs 5-3 with at least one Heart honour onside and the A with East (or possibly both Heart honours with East and the A with West if you pick it) Since no-one will cover the 9 without both Honours I think if an honour appears then I'd knock out the Spade Ace next.

 

I like the second line better. Less overtricks - but it's such a small percentage of the time that I'll live with it.

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