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Dealing with wide ranging preempts


Phil

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[hv=pc=n&s=sa2hjt86dk9753cq3&w=skj3hak7543d2cj94&n=s765hq9daqjt64ck2&e=sqt984h2d8cat8765&d=s&v=0&b=11&a=p1h3dd3n4hpp5dppdppp]399|300[/hv]

 

The good news is that we stopped them reaching the good 4. The bad news is that 4 wasn't close to making.

 

-300. Thoughts?

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[hv=pc=n&s=sa2hjt86dk9753cq3&w=skj3hak7543d2cj94&n=s765hq9daqjt64ck2&e=sqt984h2d8cat8765&d=s&v=0&b=11&a=p1h3dd3n4hpp5dppdppp]399|300[/hv]

 

The good news is that we stopped them reaching the good 4. The bad news is that 4 wasn't close to making.

 

-300. Thoughts?

 

Just a question

 

What is the range for 3?

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I dont like south's actions at all.

 

If he is going to bid 5 anyway, why messing arround with 3 NT ? He sees opponents have a fit. If he is going to mess arround then why 5 now ? Opponents didnt support each other, they bid under pressure 4 and probably couldnt find their best fit.

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If there is any blame it goes to south, defending with 2.25 defensive tricks aprox is not a good idea in general.

 

But thinking more deeply, if partner has 7 diamonds there is no room for more than half a defensive trick in his hand so defending with his hand might be the best action in the long run.

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As south i would just bid 5D against most players but against weak players (look at the 4H bid by West) I think 3nt is ok. After 4H I think taking the safe is unclear. It really look like they are not in the best contract.
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The main reason to preempt on a 6322 12-count is to get the opponents into the wrong contract. The main reason to psych opposite a preempt is to get the opponents into the wrong contract. If you do this sort of thing, presumably you believe that it's an effective style, so you think that some of the time they really will reach the wrong contract. Therefore you should rarely save in this sort of auction. When they end up in your 4-card major rather than your 2-card major, you have even more reason to believe that they're in the wrong contract, so you should be even more reluctant to save.
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Also, with the South hand, suppose that you're opposite a pure 6-card preempt like xxx x AQJxxx xxx. 5 is still going for 300, so you're only gaining 4 IMPs by saving. If he has that hand plus a trick outside, you may be beating 4. With seven diamonds, he might have bid 4. All in all, assuming that North is allowed to have the hand he had, South's decision to save is awful.
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I like the auction except West's 4 bid and South's 5 bid.

 

Was 3NT conventional? If you play that 3NT is a save suggestion (ie opposite a pure preempt let's bid 5) then that's a great bid. Especially good as a passed hand which can't really need 3NT as natural. Also, I'm guessing that this is when you have the most variety in preempts. This would mean South gets to suggest the save in 5 (as opposed to a simple raise to 4 which is just space consuming. And this North hand decides not to save. South should respect the decision.

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Just a question

 

What is the range for 3?

 

Not overtly discussed but it could include a ratty seven card diamond suit and not much else to a hand that doesn't expect to make game very often opposite a passed hand, so this 12 would be close to a max I think.

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Of course I agree with the others that this kind of random preempts will sometimes give you good and sometimes give you bad results. However, south's choice to first bid 3NT (as a passed hand, what is the point?) and then bid 5D after the opponents under pressure picked what could well be the wrong suit (you have J108x!) seems bad tactics. Of course it is possible that 5D is a winning sacrifice, but even in that case gnasher pointed out that you are not likely to gain a large amount of IMPs.

 

In the end, if you preempt more randomly with a passed partner, your partner should hold back in response.

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North has a textbook 2 overcall. It already shuts off spades and clubs so, as Esfandiari would say, "Why so much?"

 

South was apparently on tilt. Or maybe he's just been fed too much Law of Total Tricks stuff.

I have run into alot of people who play intermediate jump overcalls, geared for getting to 3NT

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:P I can see two variants in a non-thru-the-lookinglass world. Both start with 1 - 2 - dbl. Now, south can bid either 4 or 5. Either way, the worst N-S can do is -300 in 5 doubled.
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