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Hi Billies. Try this one.


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Hi Billies,

 

this hand I played with a pickup-partner calling himself an expert and he misplayed the hand awfully.

 

I'm sure most of you will do better. :)

Advanced+ please answer with hidden text only: ;)

 

[hv=d=e&v=n&w=s2h765dk87653c865&e=sk94hakt9432dq94c]266|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

West North East South

 

 -     -     1    1

 Pass  2    4    4

 5    Pass  Pass  Dbl

 Pass  Pass  Pass  

CK C5 C7 H2

HA HQ H5 H8

HK S5 H6 HJ

 

How do you think your chances are now? What card do you play from your hand?

 

Look here how my partner went down:

 

 

 

D4 :o DJ DK DA

SJ S4 S7 S2

S6 S9 ST H7

D3 DT DQ D2

D9 C3 D5 C2

and curtains down 1, instead of just made.

 

 

Here the hidden solution:

 

You must play diamond 9, :D to unblock the suit in case they are 2/2 is you must hope.

 

 

Sincerly

 

Al

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You must play diamond 9,  :( to unblock the suit in case they are 2/2 is you must hope.

 

[/font]

 

Sincerly

 

Al

I'm a BILlie, but I'll hide it anyways.

 

 

South doubled with nothing in hearts, therefore I assume he's looking at at least three, probably four tricks- just the AK of clubs and A of spades would be a foolish X. I'm going to place him with the diamond ace.

 

There are four diamonds out there, including the A, J, and T. If they split 2-2, it doesn't matter how I play it. If they split 3-1 with the A singleton he would have led it, so it's not there. If they split 4-0 or 3-1 with the AJT with South, it doesn't matter what I do.

 

So, assume that South has AJx or ATx- it's the only time it matters what I play. I need to keep the finesse available. So I lead the Q of diamonds. That snuffs the J or T, and now I can finesse for the other one (leading the nine). Although, if I do that, I lose out to the 2-2 with the JT in North. Still, I think it's the right way to play it.

 

 

There is no unblocking issue playing it this way.

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Just I do not understand why not playing for spades ruff without drawing trumps.

 

1) we know LHO has the spade ace, so the K will not be scored via a finesse.

 

2) I could delay playing on sidesuits to try to engineer a throw in for S so he has to return spades or diamonds, but I do not have enough dummy entries to eliminate clubs, so that won't work

 

3) therefore, if I play a spade at trick 2, I'll be able to score 2 spades ruff, hope trumps break, and guess diamonds.

 

Anything wrong with this reasoning ?

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Dealer: East Vul: NS Scoring: IMP 2 765 K87653 865 K94 AKT9432 Q94 [space]  

 

West  North East  South

 

 -     -     1    1

 Pass  2    4    4

 5    Pass  Pass  Dbl

 Pass  Pass  Pass  

CK C5 C7 H2

HA HQ H5 H8

HK S5 H6 HJ

how do you come to the conclusion that south is *that* much stronger than north? we have 15 hcp between us, leaving 25... why should south have anything other than a normal overcall with nice spades? iow, why in the world can north not have the A and A (giving south the K,Q,J of clubs, for instance)?

 

i'm pretty sure i'd do this at the table

 

lead a spade after winning the first trick.. win return and play A (unless a trump was returned).. trump a spade, trump a club, trump a spade, trump a club, draw the last trump and lead the 9 to the K

 

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i'm pretty sure i'd do this at the table

 

lead a spade after winning the first trick.. win return and play A (unless a trump was returned).. trump a spade, trump a club, trump a spade, trump a club, draw the last trump and lead the 9 to the K

Assuming they don't cover, tell me the advantage to playing it this way. What holding does this play work on, that wouldn't work using other methods?

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J,T with north, the one you pointed out

You can play it that way too, if you prefer. Force through the queen, then play the nine to the king. Whichever way you prefer, there's no reason to kill your communications. Draw trump, then play the Q immediately. You can decide which way you want to play it later. In fact, you can play the Q, assuming it gets covered you can win any reurn, ruff a club, run down the hearts and see if you can get a count, and then finish up the diamonds.

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You have two options here, one play Q first, the other play 9 first,

9 first makes when diamonds are 2-2 or when south got A single.

Q first if no J/10 drops makes on 2-2, but the intresting case is when north drops the j or 10, the law of restricted choice says its twice as good to play north for this honor single and not J10, also J/10 single is twice more likely then A single, ,its very importent to notice that there is no block in the suit, since south is wining the diamond A, and cannot force us to use our last heart in dummy before we play the diamonds (if north would have won and switch to spade, we had to ruff in dummy and now diamonds are blocked).

Now time too add precentages, but i dont have them so ill try logic. 9 makes on 2-2 or A single in one hand.

Q makes on all 2-2 exept J10 on north, and it also makes on J or 10 signlton on north. if im correct the Q have better precentage.

I forgot to mention, playing small/9 wont win if south has J/10 singlton, you wont have enough entries to both finnese and take the long dimamond suit.

(if you had the entry then 9 was better then Q since it works on any siglton honor on south)

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Hi all

 

You must guess the diamonds rite, so there is no need to go after spade ruffs.

 

It is questionable if better lead q or 9. Probaly the Q, as Flame explained.

 

But my "EXPERT" partner led a low diamond to the K.

 

[hv=d=e&v=n&n=sj63hj8datcqjt742&w=s2h765dk87653c865&e=sk94hakt9432dq94c&s=saqt875hqdj2cak93]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

West North East South

 

 -     -     1    1

 Pass  2    4    4

 5    Pass  Pass  Dbl

 Pass  Pass  Pass  

 

CK C5 C7 H2

HA HQ H5 H8

HK S5 H6 HJ

D4 DJ DK DA

SJ S4 S7 S2

S6 S9 ST H7

D3 DT DQ D2

D9 C3 D5 C2

 

 

and down 1. :unsure:

 

cheers

 

Al

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  • 2 weeks later...
Hi Billies,

 

this hand I played with a pickup-partner calling himself an expert and he misplayed the hand awfully.

 

I'm sure most of you will do better. :huh:

Advanced+ please answer with hidden text only: ;)

 

 

 

West North East South

 

 -     -     1    1

 Pass  2    4    4

 5    Pass  Pass  Dbl

 Pass  Pass  Pass  

CK C5 C7 H2

HA HQ H5 H8

HK S5 H6 HJ

 

How do you think your chances are now? What card do you play from your hand?

 

Look here how my partner went down:

 

 

 

D4 :o DJ DK DA

SJ S4 S7 S2

S6 S9 ST H7

D3 DT DQ D2

D9 C3 D5 C2

and curtains down 1, instead of just made.

 

 

Here the hidden solution:

 

You must play diamond 9, :) to unblock the suit in case they are 2/2 is you must hope.

 

 

Sincerly

 

Al

[hv=d=e&v=n&w=s2h765dk87653c865&e=sk94hakt9432dq94c]266|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

Hi biiilies...

 

One thing to do is count your tricks. If diamonds are 2-2 now, they will be 2-2 later. The key is hearts. If they are 2-1, you have seven hearts, plus a diamond. Setting up diamonds can wait. If they are 3-0, you will lose a heart, a spade, and likely 2 diamonds anyway, unless teh diamond suit is 2-2.. and if diamonds are 2-2. if you play on trumps, you run the risk of losing 1H, 2S, and 1D (since you will play dummy out of trumps too early). IF you can ruff two spades, you will have 7H + 2S ruff, +1D, EVEN IF THEY MANAGE TO RUFF a diamond. Simly return a spade at trick two seems a reasonable way to get 10 tricks.

 

So the way Al's expert partner played it was wrong (blocking the diamond suit was silly, but then, so was the entire line). You and I can do better.

 

Ben

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Ben, the contract is 5x

Whoops..... get me a ladder so I get down off this silly horse.

Hi

 

but you are 100% rite, Ben.

 

You line ensures 11 tricks, if hearts are 2/1 and diamonds 2/2 or LHO has the single A.

 

7 + 2-ruffs + 2

 

and you make 9 tricks against a bad distribution in the reds

6+2(ruffs) + 1.

 

 

My suggested line Draw trumps and establish diamonds, needs the same breaks to win, but against bad breaks I'll make only 7 tricks.

 

6+1

 

Your line is correct (as ever :P ), Ben

 

 

Regards

 

Al

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