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Hanoi5

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Depends...

 

Does your partner bid disciplined in 3rd/4th seat and/or in RED?

 

Based on the bidding you can assume this is a split deck.

 

I value your hand as having 5 losers or even 6.

 

I see no real science to this hand...don't know the odds enough to even try to guess...

 

Your guess is as good as mine...lol

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I've tried sneeky passes in situations like this but they always worked out sneekily badly. Somehow partner always has more than I expect, perhaps I should have expected this when both opponents pass with 2 spades combined.
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4. If partner has three diamonds and the heart hook works, we'll actually make it. There's some other possibilities too. Otherwise, I will tell my partners we got pushed there.

 

If the heart hook is wrong, clearly the opponents can make something, and they might bid it if I pass.

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If my partner is traditional ie 2 short at this Vul then I have 2 tricks plus a fair chance that either my Q is a trick, or one of the minor Jacks is worth something. Maybe pards has 3 and he can ruff one for his 10th. Just too many ways 4 can be right and the reward is worth the risk.

 

At other vunerabilities esp white V red I'd think about passing though at white V red I'd probably be opening so no problem for me :-)

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