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Hand from theGerman Premier League


rhm

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[hv=pc=n&w=sk75hq9532dkca632&e=s942haj6daj8642c9]266|100[/hv]

 

You, red versus white, reach 4 from West after a nondescript sequence with no opposition bidding. (South as dealer passed).

The lead is the T. (If you cover in dummy the queen appears)

 

How would you plan the play?

 

Rainer Herrmann

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I would assume south has the A of S (otherwise I dont have a shot) and ruff a club play S to K if it win I ruff a club cash the A of D and exit D discarding 2 spades (if south Ducked is A of S). Playing agaisnt a weak team i might expect to get a T9x leads but not agaisnt a strong team.
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Diamodns seems like the only hope, I would duck since lead from 109xx is more likelly than a lead from 109. Now Q, playing for Kx onside, or 10x offside is teh same perfectage, but the win comes when south fails to duck Q and provides us with an extra entry to dummy.

 

if diamonds don´t break we have little recovery, 5, 2, 2, 1 assuming third heart is with diamond lenght.

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I am going to play small from dummy, then a heart to the jack. If that holds, I like my chances. I'll cash the ace of diamonds, pitching a spade, and seeing if the Q or 9 falls. If the Q falls, I will ruff a heart, play a heart to the ace, and run diamonds pitching a spade and then clubs until someone ruffs in. If the 9 falls, I'll run the J of diamonds, pitching a spade. If neither falls, I'll ruff a diamond low, seeing what happens, and then play a heart to the A, planning on running diamonds if hearts are 3-2, or ruffing out diamonds if short diamonds have long hearts (& they make the mistake of overruffing).

 

If the jack loses to the K, then I'm in more trouble (aka, I'm not making this without help); I think I need a defensive error, like Qx doubleton, and RHO ruffing in from 3 hearts when I lead the established J.

 

I haven't really thought this through for 4-1 trump breaks, but in general I think this to be the line with the best chance to make.

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