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Downgrade and pesky opps


paulg

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I like it nigel, you appeal to simulations, then when simulations prove you wrong you say they are counter to playing bridge for any length of time and point out their flaws. Either way you win!

 

A point is a point, it's kind of like how a pawn is a pawn in chess. These points that we have are not bad. I still maintain that if you downgrade this hand, you will downgrade most 4333 18s. Maybe you do but I think that is a bad strategy.

It is true that if I was comparing two hands that were basically identical except that one was 4333 and the other was 5332, then I wouldn't bother with a simulation to see if there was a difference. And if a simulation showed no difference I would assume the results were wrong even if I couldn't immediately figure out why.

 

But neither of the hands I suggested comparing in a simulation was 5332 so that weakens your criticism quite a lot. If simulations show that 4333 and 4432 are nearly the same when playing in NT I have no problem with that.

 

Also, there are plenty of ways a 4333 18 can be better. It could have a ten, or even a nine, or a three card sequence such as KQJx or AKJx. Most 4333 18s have one of those.

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