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Decision Time


BunnyGo

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Unless you agree to play negative doubles in this scenario (I cannot imagine it), any bid but pass seems suicidal to me. Partner could have diamonds as strong as KJxxx and no other valuable cards. You have 3 defensive aces. 5 diamonds will not make, could go for 800 in spite of the vulnerability, and there is no guarantee you can make a 5-level contract, let alone a slam. If you take out the double and partner indeed has something like xx xx KJxxx xxxx, you will never play opposite this partner again and it won't be your choice.

 

Larry Cohen and his Law of Total Tricks would argue strongly against bidding again here. It is quite possible that neither side has a 10 card fit, and there is every chance that neither side can make 11 tricks in any contract.

 

If you cannot defeat 5D with your 3 aces and partner's tricks, or if partner turns out to have nothing in diamonds and 4-card or 5-card heart support, where we have 11 or 12 tricks on top, you should consider switching to a new partner.

 

If it turns out you've got a game and can only set 5D by 500, or that you can make a slam against 800 or 1100, them's the breaks. Preempts have to work some of the time. I just think that it's far more likely that bidding again will reduce your score (or make it negative!) relative to what you'll collect against 5DX.

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I'm sure that all of the internationalists that play this way will be happy to discuss it with you. Seriously, you're out of your element.

 

Aren't you just on this site to promote your blog? Seems like half your posts are doing that already.

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I think wank is probably an appropriate name. Anyone who plays takeout doubles at the 5-level needs to find a new game.

 

Wow, just waltzing into the A/E and showing off your skills! :) Since you are new you might want to take some time to read some of the stickys posted first.

 

Anyway, double of these five level overcalls arent really negative, per se. They tend to be card showing and partner is expected to do 'something intelligent'. Much of the time partner has a balanced hand and sits, but here we have a hugely offensive hand. Bidding some kind of slam is warranted and I expect you'll see some intelligent discussions about the merits of 6 vs 5NT. Against a useful 12 count I expect to make slam enough of the time to make it worthwhile and partner could be much better.

 

If we choose to sit it's because we think our penalty against 5 is our best expectation, not because we are fantasizing about some trump stack partner does not have.

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Wow. WOW! I'm really fascinated by the obnoxious arrogance of all 3 responses to my posts.

 

"Everyone of a decent standard..." Are you saying I don't have a decent standard? Ha.

 

I have plenty of partners of decent standard and they certainly wouldn't bid speculatively at this level under these conditions unless he was certain we were slamming somewhere. If he did, he would have something more descriptive to offer than "X."

 

I challenge you to construct a hand where bidding on over 5D doubled leads to a better score than passing and taking it down at least 4, maybe 6. You are bound to run into horrendous distribution in the side suits; your partner may have as many as 4 diamonds and 4 spades; you do not know whether partner's double is penalty or takeout unless you've specifically discussed the issue beforehand; you have lost a ton of room for exploration; and the probability that you have a 10-card fit that would justify bidding on is well under 50%.

 

All of these factors point toward leaving the double in and taking as many tricks as you can on defense.

 

On this hand, even with 29 HCP and a 9 card fit, you could go down because the defenders have a singleton or void in every side suit and you fail to successfully locate a jack here and an 8 there. The long suits are just no good.

 

For any such hand you can construct, where bidding on improves your score, I can construct a similar one where the opponents can set you in anything you bid, and 5D is down a telephone number. If partner had interest in a suit slam, he should have bid his suit.

 

Again --> if you have an agreement in this specific situation, then fine. But barring one that says something like this-is-a-"we-have-slam-on-this-hand-somewhere" double, I cannot imagine that bidding on is safe and there is no way 5D is going to be down any less than 3. Even if you stay at the 5 level you might be off a ruff and 2 side suit tricks.

 

And if you're using doubles as takeout over 5 level preempts, I would be thrilled to be your opponent. It means I can preempt you with impunity and you don't have a method to penalize me.

 

With respect to my blog, I encourage you to check it out and give any feedback, positive or negative. I just started it, it's a whopping 3 articles long so far, but I have 100 ideas and I'll be adding 3-4 articles a week. The more controversy and dissenting opinion the better. :-)

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Wow. WOW! I'm really fascinated by the obnoxious arrogance of all 3 responses to my posts.

You did come in saying "Anyone who plays takeout doubles at the 5-level needs to find a new game," which is absurd, because it is far from expert standard to play this X as penalty.

 

"Everyone of a decent standard..." Are you saying I don't have a decent standard? Ha.

You are brand new to the forums. Most of us have a good sense of the level of the regular posters in the forum. We have no idea what level you are, but I'm not impressed so far.

 

I have plenty of partners of decent standard and they certainly wouldn't bid speculatively at this level under these conditions unless he was certain we were slamming somewhere. If he did, he would have something more descriptive to offer than "X."

You will get robbed blind.

 

I challenge you to construct a hand where bidding on over 5D doubled leads to a better score than passing and taking it down at least 4, maybe 6.

KQ87/K43/92/KJ103

 

You are bound to run into horrendous distribution in the side suits; your partner may have as many as 4 diamonds and 4 spades; you do not know whether partner's double is penalty or takeout unless you've specifically discussed the issue beforehand;

It is obnoxious to think that OP and his partner haven't discussed what their doubles are. I repeat: this is A/E, not B/I.

 

 

Again --> if you have an agreement in this specific situation, then fine.

They do. The double shows a hand with cards and no clear direction. "Maybe 5Dx is right; I can't bid a slam on my own, but I'm interested to hear more about your hand. And if you've nothing to say, pass."

 

But barring one that says something like this-is-a-"we-have-slam-on-this-hand-somewhere" double, I cannot imagine that bidding on is safe and there is no way 5D is going to be down any less than 3. Even if you stay at the 5 level you might be off a ruff and 2 side suit tricks.

You have practically the best hand ever when partner doubles. Frankly, I'm more worried about missing a grand than going down in 6.

 

And if you're using doubles as takeout over 5 level preempts, I would be thrilled to be your opponent. It means I can preempt you with impunity and you don't have a method to penalize me.

Doubles are frequently left in; that doesn't mean that they are penalty doubles. On frequency, you'll have a hand with no clear direction WAY more often than a pure penalty double after a 5-level preempt.

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And if you're using doubles as takeout over 5 level preempts, I would be thrilled to be your opponent. It means I can preempt you with impunity and you don't have a method to penalize me.

 

Hi, welcome to forums.

 

I play this DBL as neither take-out nor penalty. I think playing this DBL as pure take out is as bad as playing it as pure penalty. Opener is expected to pass with majority of the hands due to the level. When he bids he must have serious reasons for it. One thing i never do is, to DBL with xx xxx KJxxx xxx. You may be my opponent and preempt like a maniac, but you seem to think that only way to penalize these type of preempts is direct DBL after the preemptor by a trump stack, which actually gives me some idea about you.

 

Can you punish opponents when they weak jump overcall with xxxxx and responder has AQT8x vs opener's KJ9 ? I hope not.

 

You are also underestimating the strategical upside of bidding 1 more time. I found myself over the years making accurate decisions and sitting on DBL to defeat them by 1-2-3 while we cant make anything, just to see that other table bid on and the guy with 8 or 9 took an insurance save. Don't tell me this never happened to you.

 

 

 

On this hand, even with 29 HCP and a 9 card fit, you could go down because the defenders have a singleton or void in every side suit and you fail to successfully locate a jack here and an 8 there. The long suits are just no good.

.

 

FYI these type of hands are easier ones if not the easiest, to declare.

 

Overall, i will not argue that you should bid with this hand. 5 level preempts are EXTREMELY heavy preempts and you are pretty much rolling the dice regardless of your decision, pass or bid compared to if you were left alone. In return you have much better accuracy to spot the location of cards needed in declarer play, much easier to count opponents hands in early stages of play etc..I would bid with this by the way.

 

First i thought Wyman was harsh on you, but after i saw your reply to Wank, who politely tried to explain you, i dont think u should complain about arrogance. You asked for it. Wyman doesnt usually welcome a newcomer to forums like that, and Wank is a decent poster as far as i know them.

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:-)

 

Good luck. Your bidding methods are horrendously flawed.

 

Well, I guess mine are as well. This is an obvious 6C bid in my opinion. I prefer 6C to 5NT because the suit is a 5 carder. For me a 4504 would be more in line with a 5NT bid.

I think most people on this forum wold play this x as card showing rather that pure takeout. However it is NOT a penalty doulbe, though as others have stated, it can be left in and often is; not with this hand, though.

 

"you do not know whether partner's double is penalty or takeout unless you've specifically discussed the issue beforehand;"

By the way, the above comment is ridiculous if you are talking about any regular partnership.

 

"Unless you agree to play negative doubles in this scenario (I cannot imagine it),"

Are you aware that some pairs, (experts), play -ve Xs through 7S?

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I challenge you to construct a hand where bidding on over 5D doubled leads to a better score than passing and taking it down at least 4, maybe 6.

 

For any such hand you can construct, where bidding on improves your score, I can construct a similar one where the opponents can set you in anything you bid, and 5D is down a telephone number. If partner had interest in a suit slam, he should have bid his suit.

 

Again --> if you have an agreement in this specific situation, then fine. But barring one that says something like this-is-a-"we-have-slam-on-this-hand-somewhere" double, I cannot imagine that bidding on is safe and there is no way 5D is going to be down any less than 3.

 

 

Feels like I'm stating the obvious but it doesn't feel like 5D is going for a telephone number either - isn't oppo reasonably likely to make 8 trump tricks? Might manage more on a bad day for defence - it's not impossible that declarer was dealt a 9 card suit and it's not impossible that dummy will hit with a useful shortage. 6 off is wishful thinking imo.

 

As other people have stated, a lot of people just play double here as meaning "I was dealt a good hand and I don't know what to do now that we've been pre empted". What are you planning on doing with a good flat hand at this point in the auction if you can't double? The idea is that partner passes it whenever he has something in trumps or when he doesn't really know what to do either but he has the chance to bid a slam on an offensive hand like this (or bid a suit at the 5 level ofc). If you think that double shows a diamond stack, what do you think people bid 5D on? Even at favourable, this guy isn't joking.

 

Fwiw I'm going for 6.

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Phil, I still can't find the stickies. Maybe it's because it's 4:30AM and I'm not interpreting directions correctly. Stickies are forum threads that stay at the top of the forum, yes? (i.e., not replies within the individual thread that are at the top). A/E forum doesn't seem to have any such pinned threads at the top. Am I missing something?

 

I am a total newbie to forums.

 

And my apologies to anyone I might have offended --> I guess when someone uses the phrase "everyone of a decent standard" they may not have meant any offense, but I definitely took it that way. I may not have the best bidding system in the world or a litany of championships under my belt, but I am excellent at this game and can't see myself ever playing a double in that situation as being primarily takeout. It can show cards; it can show quick tricks; but if I were interested in slam the last thing I personally would bid at the 5 level is a double of the opponent's very ambitious and long-suited preempt.

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High low,

 

I have never ever heard someone here before call himself excellent. Not Mike, nor Justin, Gonzalo, Fred, Andy, Frances whoever. And they are internationalists for their countries. And they are really excellent. Do you mind to tell us, who you are, as you must be surely a member of the Blue Team, the Dalles Aces or at least Dutch Orange...?

 

I join the 6 camp, fully aware that 7 may be laydown.

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Thanks all for the comments. This situation had not been explicitly discussed with this partner (we'd played several events together before, but not in over a year) and simply agreed to "standard" for any such situation. We both understood that the double was "do something smart," not "I have diamonds." The issue for me was "what is smart?"

 

It seemed a bit pushy to turn a plus score into a potential minus by risking it on a slam (partner may not be able to cover all my slow losers), and with 3 Aces and zero trump I thought my ODR was not as low as most of the responders seem to, so I passed. Didn't work out...

 

KQ87/K43/92/KJ103

 

Nice guess ;)

 

That was indeed partner's hand, so pass was not the best option. 6 was cold (on not 5-0 hearts), 7 on finding the queen of clubs.

 

Even after reconsidering that pass was wrong, it was still not clear to me if I was supposed to bid 6C, 5NT, or something else. Thanks for the thoughts.

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