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What bid for slam here?


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What do we need from partner for a slam ? Either a one loser 8+ card suit and the A, or a solid 8+ card suit and second round control.

 

We also need the opening leader to find the heart lead much but not all of the time (x, KQx, x, KQJ10xxxx is just dead, the same with Axx is cold, the same with a stiff Q rather than small requires a heart lead).

 

I'd suggest given that partner has bid this in second seat, it's odds on and bid 6, I'd be more reticent opposite a first seat 5.

 

Edit: I have a natural 4 opener available, if I didn't I might also be more circumspect.

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Even in second seat partner can have a 5 bid with two quick heart losers. Or, in an extreme case, two inescapable losers.

 

As an example of the extreme case:

 

----

x

----

KQJT98765432

 

Or, a truly disgusting example opposite responder's hand:

 

----

Ax

----

QJT98765432

 

These revolting possibilities aside, I think that bidding slam is anti-percentage. Finding partner with the right hand for slam is against the odds (although certainly possible).

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Personally, I don't think that 6 is out of the question.

 

Partner has made a second seat preempt at the five level at equal vulnerability.

I have first round control in two suits, four tricks for partner, and two card trump support...

 

I would dearly love to be playing methods where I could show both constructive and less constructive five level preempts.

I'm not. Partner could have a wide range of hands, and 5 = ain't that great a score at match points....

 

Yes, I have a suit wide open, but there's no guarantee that the opponents will find the right lead

 

The odds that the opponent leader has AK in hearts aren't that great.

I'm not sure that leading an unsupported Ace is that attractive on an auction like 5C - 6C

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My experience with "sensible" pickups is that if they open 5 and I hold this good of a hand and bid 6 it will be a BIG favorite to make and PD will often take all 13 tricks perhaps if the opps don't make the best lead.

 

Sitting opposite myself, I'd also bid 6 and expect it to be a fav to make as well as my 5 2nd seat opening is going to have 8 sure tricks with tons of trump and likely 8+ or even 9 tricks.

 

The opps can easily not find the setting lead here if there is one.

 

.. neilkaz ..

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I am not bidding 6 unless I am looking for a big swing. If RHO has A he will lead it and we are almost surely down.(Partner couldnt open 3N right?) If he doesnt lead we could still lose 2. I dont agree that partner's preempt should be that solid in second seat. I mean with - Qxxx x KJxxxxxx I cant imagine not opening 5, (mby unless we are r/w, but even then I will surely consider it).
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I am not bidding 6 unless I am looking for a big swing. If RHO has A he will lead it and we are almost surely down.(Partner couldnt open 3N right?) If he doesnt lead we could still lose 2. I dont agree that partner's preempt should be that solid in second seat. I mean with - Qxxx x KJxxxxxx I cant imagine not opening 5, (mby unless we are r/w, but even then I will surely consider it).

Wow. Really? 5 on that hand? I can imagine opening 4, but you are not giving your opps much of a choice except double, and I don't know if you really want to play 5x on those cards.

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