Calling all math freaks

[aguahombre]

ace and another club, rather than low away from ace seems to reduce later options and risk going down right then and there.

[phil_20686]

do we know what the whole hand was?

[whereagles]

Out of my head it was something like this (spots not 100% accurate)

 

[hv=pc=n&s=sa75hak642da52ca5&w=sj862hj8dt3ck9743&n=skq3hq3dkq74cqt62&e=st94ht975dj986cj8&d=s&v=b&b=7&a=2np3cp3np6n]399|300|2NT = 18-20 and 3NT = 5 hearts. West leads 10 of diamonds[/hv]

 

The club up line would have worked, provided you guess right. Whether or not West would duck smoothly, we'll never know. If you guess right or LHO plays the king you're home on the hearts or a red squeeze. If you guess wrong you're probably down, as hearts lie 4-2 and no progressive squeeze develops.

 

Most of the field tried 4 rounds of hearts, relying on a good red break or subsequent minor-suit squeeze. That was not to be and all ended 1 down.

 

Still, my interest is in what's the best line in theory (if such thing even exists lol).

[jogs]

ace and another club, rather than low away from ace seems to reduce later options and risk going down right then and there.

 

Don't like it. Makes it too easy for LHO to duck the club king.

[aguahombre]

Don't like it. Makes it too easy for LHO to duck the club king.

I am planning to play the queen. works when he has the king, and I can just play for 4-2 hearts, or when he has doubleton jack of clubs and either red suit behaves.

 

What does lefty do with 3-4-4-(JX), or 2-4-4-(JXX), in addition to the times he holds the club king, plus those possibilities? Winning Diamond ace and leading low club from Ace at trick two feels good.