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Just how good are you?


bd71

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:P 5. Too good to pass. I may make six, but I hate my stiff K and only having three trumps. Should have 11 tricks opposite KQxxx and another queen because of either a long or and a heart ruff. How to envision 12 tricks is harder. To some extent I am trusting the opps bidding saying they have at least some high cards. This is why I HATE my king.
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I'm bidding 4 on the off chance that partner has the heart Ace or Queen. It is matchpoints after all. I'm not sure if the next call will tell me what I need to know, but I feel compelled to do this anyway.
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I don't think we can ever find out what we need to be able to bid slam 'knowing' that it is cold or close to cold. We can assume decent clubs, so the key to the hand is his diamond holding. We just can't find out, imo. xx is good, especially if he has 6 clubs. xxx is terrible, but then he may, for example, have Qx xxx xxx KQxxx and still prevail.

 

All told, it seems to me that he is more likely to have a hand that affords a good-to-excellent play for 12 tricks than he is to have a hand on which slam is an underdog.

 

My natural instincts tend towards finding reasons NOT to bid, but I am trying to overcome that and my vote for 6 is part of that effort.

 

One can conjure up a hand on which grand has play, but I don't know that we could ever bid it with confidence and trying for it seems to be risking confusion and a poor result for little reason. Reaching a small slam will be a good result in almost any field even if grand makes.

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