Lead problem

[Crunch3nt]

[hv=pc=n&w=sthaqt54dkjt6c752&d=s&v=n&b=15&a=1s2h2s4h4sppdppp]133|200[/hv]

 

Please comment freely! I have no idea of best/percentage lead. Will post actual hand in 24 hours

[MrAce]

I am not expecting to make 2♥ tricks in defense in this bidding to be honest. I also expect the opener to be short in ♥ rather than 2♠ bidder. Although i hate to lead an unprotected Ace even when supported by partner, I would lead ♥ A. As u said this also allows me to study dummy to figure out whats pd's DBL is about and if pd has 4 trumps perhaps we may tap off declarer or we may try to grab our tricks. I may regret this if pd doubled with the hope that i can find his shortness, since i am killing my only quick entry with the lead.

[jmcw]

Partner's X will be based on general strength and the expectation of talking a trump trick or 2.

He will expect a ♥ lead unless I have another safe attacking lead to offer.

I lead the ♥ Ace after fingering the ♦ Jack. Now I can safely blame partner if it makes :rolleyes:

[JLOGIC]

Leading a low heart to get a diamond through is rather sexy.

[BunnyGo]

Leading a low heart to get a diamond through is rather sexy.

 

Would the ten spot be a better signal to partner, or should a low heart work just as well?

[JLOGIC]

Would the ten spot be a better signal to partner, or should a low heart work just as well?

 

Heh, I'm sure I'd lead the HA at the table, but I remember a hand where Joel (Wooldridge) did something similar, and he also led suit preference so his partner knew what to shift to...

 

I think the ten is too dangerous though of getting ducked or something. Maybe that is just paranoia, but in general I like to just lead my normal count card and let partner figure out why I did it.

[whereagles]

somehow I feel attracted to the spade lead, so chalk +1 for that lead.

[Crunch3nt]

Hi all,

 

The actual hand below: With over 50% going for the wrong lead, Maybe this is an allocate the blame problem? Perhaps East should have bid 3S or 3C instead of 4H?

 

[hv=pc=n&s=sakq953hkj9d872c3&w=sthaqt54dkjt6c752&n=s8764h82d93ca9864&e=sj2h763daq54ckqjt&d=s&v=n&b=15&a=1s2h2s4h4sppdppp]399|300[/hv]

[MrAce]

Hi all,

Maybe this is an allocate the blame problem? Perhaps East should have bid 3S or 3C instead of 4H?

 

I dont know what others think but imo yes, East should have made his intentions clear for pd before he bid 4♥. If not for lead purpose but for other reasons, look at vulnerability, when you jump to 4♥ white and they bid 4♠, there is always a danger that pd may save.

 

I think he wanted to ambush opponents and wanted them to bid 4♠ and DBL. Oh well, he got what he wished for. Had he bid normally we could have get a +420 or +200, now if i was his pd we get -790 :)

[Free]

I wouldn't expect 3 small ♥s in partner's hand, better is to just cuebid to show his values and 3 card fit. Then west won't lead the ♥A ever imo.

[gnasher]

If we agree that partner's actual hand is a 3♠ bid, what does his sequence show?

[MrAce]

If we agree that partner's actual hand is a 3♠ bid, what does his sequence show?

 

IF we agree on actual hand is a 3♠ bid, he probably have ♠s now. Something like this, u can add 1 more ♥ and take out a ♦ or ♣ from his hand i think, i just wrote pretty fast. There maybe some other hands where opponents screwed up even worse with a genius responder supporting his pd with Hx or something. I cant think of other options when we agree that good hands start with cue. Unless this DBL by agreement tells us not to lead ♥.

 

[hv=pc=n&s=skq752h5dq2cakq62&w=sthaqt62dkjt9c843&n=s843hj83da863cj95&e=saj96hk974d754ct7&d=s&v=n&b=15&a=1s2h2s4h4sppdppp]399|300[/hv]

[Free]

If we agree that partner's actual hand is a 3♠ bid, what does his sequence show?

Either a preemptive raise with 5+♥ or some mixed raise which wants to Dbl 4♠ for penalties :D

[whereagles]

Pard's bid over 2S is probably DBL. You're going to be outbid anyway, so you might as well start directing the lead.

[Crunch3nt]

So instead of bidding 4H, when East bids 3S followed by 4H, this does not show a slam-try (cuebid is game forcing) and instead just shows a HCP raise?

 

ie a similar concept to when the auction goes (1S) X (Pass), 4H shows a distributional hand, and hyou have to go via 2S with bal HCP and hearts?

[nigel_k]

I also like double followed by 4♥. It's not as encouraging as a cue bid and concealing our three card support may even be an advantage if it keeps partner from bidding 5♥ over 4♠.