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relay bidding COG


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JT9x

AT7x

Jxx

Kx

 

and partner showned

 

3145 18-22

 

partner bid S before you so hes going to play 4S (defense will be almost double dummy)

 

But if you play 3Nt they will know nothing of your hand (only that you have 8+pts)

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If partner has

 

AKQ

x

AKxx

QJT9x

 

Then depending on how we guess to hold up the heart suit, we can go wrong and lose 4 hearts and the AC, while we only have 6 top tricks. Spades is petty safe with the short heart hand able to ruff. There are other layouts like having a wide open diamond suit with no other losers where 3NT may fail, but i view those as much much less likely.

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partner bid 3nt WTP and I was thinking that it might be close. But its isnt 3Nt has 99% of success vs 93% for 4S.

 

opener going to have a stiff honnor slightly under 50% of the times wich is way higher than i was expecting.

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opener going to have a stiff honnor slightly under 50% of the times wich is way higher than i was expecting.

 

Doesn't really surprise me. Think of it this way: Opps have 9-13 HCP, and only 8 of their 26 cards are hearts, so it's not really a given that they have KQJ...

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