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Second who is to blame


the hog

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[hv=pc=n&s=s876h7654d7432ct2&w=s95hqt3dj85caq854&n=sqt432haj92dq6c96&e=sakjhk8dakt9ckj73]399|300[/hv]399|300[/hv]

 

Would you blame West for missing this slam? 2NT shows 21-22.

 

I think you forgot to insert the bidding. :)

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But, it looks like a 23 to me, and to KNR.

 

I agree with this. Counting East as 22 HCP means that you you do not upgrade 1 HCP for the fact that you have...

 

1. Every honor working

2. A 10-9 coupled with two other honors

3. High control count (8 controls; 8X2.33=26.67, 26.67-22=4.67, 4.67=+1)

4. Not 4-3-3-3

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Agree with the 2NT opening.

 

If W did anything positive, obviously E has to move, but I wouldn't blame W for just bidding 3NT.

 

Aquahombre, why is it not a good slam? 6NT may not be so good but in 6 you can combine several options. Play a low heart to the king. If N steps up with the ace you are home. Otherwise, now a low heart to the ten. If the jack is onside, you are home. Assuming T loses to the jack, now cash AK. If Q does not drop, your last chance is a spade finesse. Looks like some 79% to me. Maybe there are squeeze chances also.

 

Edit: thanks, rhm, for pointing out the flaw in this argument. If South wins the first heart trick we can't afford to take another heart finesse as we are now down if the T loses to the J. If my 79% is correct when A is with N then over-all we will have appr 69%.

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Agree with the 2NT opening.

 

If W did anything positive, obviously E has to move, but I wouldn't blame W for just bidding 3NT.

 

Aquahombre, why is it not a good slam? 6NT may not be so good but in 6 you can combine several options. Play a low heart to the king. If N steps up with the ace you are home. Otherwise, now a low heart to the ten. If the jack is onside, you are home. Assuming T loses to the jack, now cash AK. If Q does not drop, your last chance is a spade finesse. Looks like some 79% to me. Maybe there are squeeze chances also.

79% is certainly too much, though 6 is worth bidding, particularly if it is played from East. If South has the heart ace, your chances drop to less than 60%

My guess is overall chances are less than 70%

 

The East hand is worth more in a trump contract. KNR is not a good elevator for notrump contracts. This is a recurring problem of 2NT openers. What do you do with balanced hands which would be worth more in a suit contract?

Maybe the lesser defect is to upgrade to a 2 opener. But if your 2NT rebid then gets raised on a minimum you likely will be in a no-play 3NT

 

Rainer Herrmann

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I can see East accepting any kind of minor suit slamtry.

 

I just can't imagine West "asking" here .... ( not enough hcp, no 6+ long suit... not even a 5/4 ... and no shortness anywhere ) .

 

Had I opened 2C we would have got there:

2C 3C would show a positive with HHxxx. Now I think it is not that difficult. Our auction was the pedestrian 2N 3N.

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We'd reach 6 but only because we play 2N good 19-21 so have to open 2 intending to show 22-23, after a 2-3 start, we're virtually certain to bid it.

 

Playing the OP's system, it's a nice 22 but not exceptional, I probably wouldn't upgrade the opening bid (it's close, make the 2 jacks a queen or give me a 5 card suit and I would), so routine 2N-3N.

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