Hanoi5 Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 [hv=pc=n&s=sa2haqj3dqj854cj6&n=sjt943h5dat6cak87&d=n&v=b&b=13&a=1sp2dp3cp3hp3np4np6dppp]266|200[/hv] You receive a ♣2 lead and remain wondering how to explain your partner that 3♣ shows extras. Out of the trance you play a small club from dummy and take RHO's 10 with your Jack. So far so good... How shall you continue? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceeb Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 I don't read anything into the lead except a good chance that clubs are 4-3, hence a slightly diminished chance of very bad breaks elsewhere. Crossruff will require things to go well. We'd play to score 2 spade ruffs and 1 club ruff in hand, so roughly LHO must have 4 clubs and nothing too destructive in terms of short spades or the diamond 9. Roughly 50% for the clubs, 70% for the ruffing the 3rd spade, so about 35%. Finessing the red suits is probably better. Suppose ♦ to the 10, and eventually ♥ to the Q and ruff a small ♥. To a first approximation this succeeds if ♥Kx(x) is onside, or if ♦K(x) is onside. If the ♥ chance is 25% and the trump chance is independently 30%, that adds to 47%. I don't see any appealing line involving establishing spades. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 I'd follow up with club up, heart finesse. - If it holds, ruff a heart, take a spade discard on top club, spade back, ruff heart, ace of trumps, spade ruffed and diamond jack. - If it doesn't, ruff a heart at some stage and play for ♦Kx with LHO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceeb Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 I'd follow up with club up, heart finesse. - If it holds, ruff a heart, take a spade discard on top club, spade back, ruff heart, ace of trumps, spade ruffed and diamond jack. - If it doesn't, ruff a heart at some stage and play for ♦Kx with LHO.This does seem better. I would though cash the ♥A if the finesse wins. That avoids a defensive ♥ ruff in layouts such as RHO's xxxx,Kxxx,Kx,xxx, and also profits against RHO's xxx,Kxx,K7xx,xxx. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 [hv=pc=n&s=sa2haqj3dqj854cj6&n=sjt943h5dat6cak87&d=n&v=b&b=13&a=1sp2dp3cp3hp3np4np6dppp]266|200| You receive a ♣2 lead and remain wondering how to explain your partner that 3♣ shows extras. Out of the trance you play a small club from dummy and take RHO's 10 with your Jack. So far so good... How shall you continue? My guess:♣JAK discarding a ♠, ♠A, ♥A, ruff a heart, ruff a ♠, ruff a ♥, ruff a ♣, ruff a ♥, ruff a ♠... hoping to emerge with 1♠, 1♥, 3♣, and 7 trumps. Then congratulate partner on his excellent bidding judgement :) [/hv] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skaftij Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 I finesse both red suit and if one of them fails, several good things need to happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aguahombre Posted May 25, 2011 Report Share Posted May 25, 2011 The diamond K is onside doubleton or singleton, or lefty has no diamonds at all. Does that change anything about how to proceed? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21574770 Posted May 26, 2011 Report Share Posted May 26, 2011 Can across ruff? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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