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if I 'knew' partner had the pointed suits, I'd go.

 

Partner looks like 1=5=2=5 but could also be 2=5=1=5 (as well as some 5-6's). For a r/w Michaels call I would expect a 5-6 11 count in the (gulp) 6 loser range - x AQxxx xx AJTxx. Here, 5 is 500, although it isn't clear they are doubling, but there is also an off chance if they do not pick up the diamonds. With AKxxx we are probably beating 4 and 5 has no chance.

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[hv=pc=n&s=s32hk9654dqj65c32&d=w&v=n&b=12&a=1s2s4s]133|200[/hv]

 

We play Michaels always shows 2 highest unbid suits so I would know pard has both red suits. This means we could well be losing 4 black tricks and maybe 1 red, -800 doubled. Two off is -500 and as they are white still losing out against game.

 

Also when pard bid he didn't envisage a 5-level bid.

 

It just doesn't feel right so I'm for passing and hoping in at nearer 50%.

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Just a theory thing by the way, it's important in this auction to have two ways to bid at the 5 level. For example in this auction, I would play

 

1S 2S 4S ?

 

4N = p/c for your minor, I am bidding to make

5C = p/c for your minor, I am just saving

5D = strong 5H bid

5H = weak 5H bid

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I feel like I should elaborate.

 

One of partner's most likely actions if we pass will be to double back in (or bid something). Obviously we are not sitting for this, we are going to bid 5H. How does this compare to bidding 5H directly? Bidding 5H directly shows something like this, since we did not do something stronger like starting with 4N or 5D (see above post). By passing and then bidding 5H in this scenario, we are not describing our hand, and if partner has a magical hand like void AQxxx Ax AKxxxx there is no way we will get to slam, let alone 7, whereas he has an easy 6H bid (at least) over our 5H.

 

Basically, when partner saves us by doubling back in (likely), we will usually push against passing but will occasionally miss slam by our failure to act, so it is bad to pass in this scenario.

 

How about if partner cannot act? Then we are defending 4S opposite mediumish strength 5-5 hands (probably good, but unclear) or mediumish 5-6 or even 6-6 hands. Why would you want to do that? A hand like x AJxxx x AQxxxx would never come back in and this is just almost certainly a game swing if not a double game swing. x AQxxx Kx AQxxx is another hand where we will just be defending 4S ridiculously while we are just on a hook through the opening bidder for 5H, and sometimes they are also just cold for 4S. I guess there is not much else to say except that passing 4S is absurdly bad in my view.

 

If you play a style of Michaels where passing is reasonable because partner could have anything, then maybe you should reevaluate. If you are only taking 9 tricks when you catch your partner with Kxxxx of support and a side working doubleton, maybe you shouldn't be forcing to the 3 level!

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I feel like I should elaborate.

 

One of partner's most likely actions if we pass will be to double back in (or bid something). Obviously we are not sitting for this, we are going to bid 5H. How does this compare to bidding 5H directly? Bidding 5H directly shows something like this, since we did not do something stronger like starting with 4N or 5D (see above post). By passing and then bidding 5H in this scenario, we are not describing our hand, and if partner has a magical hand like void AQxxx Ax AKxxxx there is no way we will get to slam, let alone 7, whereas he has an easy 6H bid (at least) over our 5H.

 

Basically, when partner saves us by doubling back in (likely), we will usually push against passing but will occasionally miss slam by our failure to act, so it is bad to pass in this scenario.

 

You could just play similar 4N/5D bids over the double as you suggest playing on the first round.

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Defending 4S with the trump stack I hold rather than be on offense with my known 10(+) card fit looks like the wrong option. Some days you even make 5H, other days they bid 5S. Should they next bid 5S I do think partner leading his AH from a previously unappealing holding could be just what we need. The down side is partner has a pail for their bid we get smashed and go for 1100, maybe we can use the "sorry thot we were white" excuse.
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Pass, and do it in tempo.

 

If you would know the 2nd suit, and you would know,

that the 2nd suit is diamonds, thand I would say bid

5H, but I dont - hence I pass.

 

Of course if you have the agreement, that the michaels

always showes 6-5 at the given colors bid on as well.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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  • 3 weeks later...

"Passing seems like a deep view to me."

 

-Han Peters

 

I said this about this hand? I don't remember. I would bid 5H though for sure, good chance they'll bid 5S even when 5H is going for 500.

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Oh btw, say partner had doubled instead of 2S. Then Wortel-Schollaardt play that 5H is a good hand with hearts and 4NT is either a 2-suiter or a bad hand with hearts. I think this is better than the "standard" opposite, as when partner bids 5D over your 4NT you can't show the good hand with hearts.

 

Not sure what they do here.

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