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Long minor after opps bid unusual 2NT


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On the deal you hold:

 

10xxx

x

AKJxxx

Kx

 

Partner opens 1 in second seat, next op bids 2NT. I double, showing interest to penalize the ops and after 3 pass pass its my bid again. We have no clear agreement what a pass over 3 means, a double would have been penalty.

 

Do u pass, try 3nt or bid something else?

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If I go down some number in 3N and they're cold for 3C X I have gained a lot. If we are "murdering 3C X" we probably will make 3N, so I haven't lost much/have gained there too.

 

Do I love my chances in 3N? No. But I'm certainly not doubling them with no tricks or trumps. If partner has a doubleton club, doubling them just seems like a complete disaster.

 

And as you said we're in a force so I can't pass.

 

I think you like your chances on defense way more than I do.

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I actually think double is a pretty good bet. Partner would bid with 7 hearts so it seems like dummy must have a bunch of major suit cards. I cannot beleive that they are in a 9 card fit with short diamonds and only bid 3c here. That doesnt seem right. Sure, they might be able to get 9 tricks, but it seems like I have a pretty good chance of restricting them to 6 tricks. Obviously vulnerability matters a lot. It they were red and you were green I would imagine that double is the winning strategy by some margin. I would want to have at least one or two decent diamond pips though. I.e. At least the 8 so that Declarer cannot set up long diamonds by force. Do you really imagine that 9 tricks is a possibility on this auction if declarer cannot establish a single diamond trick? I would even consider leading a trump away from Kx if I doubled.

 

I mean, 3N might be making, but it hardly seems like a lock. No reason partner cannot have 4 clubs on this auction and just not be prepared to double if they aren't very good.

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