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Hand looks familiar and I would just bid 3NT.

 

Partner would upgrade out of 1NT with a good 17 and my rather poor 16 opposite an average 17 looks like being a marginal slam at best. Partner might also accept my invite with 16 sometimes and then it will be worse.

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4NT.

 

our style is, that P can only pass on a minimum.

 

So, indeed we might end up in 6NT, on 32H.....

And you would go down, as well as probably going down on many hands with 33 HCP. You have the worst distribution as well as no points in your "long" suit. I wouldn't even look for slam if partner and I played the "Yellow Rose of Texas" convention. Assuming no 8-card fit, you'll probably need around 35 HCP for 6NT, and even if you have a 4-4 Spade fit, that looks to need roughly 34 HCP for 6NT because you are 4333. The only chance you have is if partner has a 5-card suit, and even then needs to be a maximum. I would bid 3NT, wouldn't even think twice.

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3N IMO is the best bid with the flat hand.

 

2 is also better than 4NT, 4-4 spade fit will make an extra trick very often, bypassing the 4 card major is an strategy based on giving away less info to the opponents for the lead, not for reaching best double dummy contract.

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A good hand for a distribution relay ask if you play it. This is a tough guess because it all comes down to how well our hands mesh. There are some 15 counts which make slam a good proposition but usually that would require partner to have a 5-card suit (or 6) in one of our aces' suits.
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I think 3NT is awful.

 

Can't partner be 5332 with his 16 count?

 

or 4432 with his 17 count.

 

We're not even gonna bid stayman to find out about partner's shape?

Right, because we'll be able to find this out using stayman... OF COURSE, why didn't I think of that. I'll bid stayman to find partner's exact shape. Perfect.

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I think 3NT is awful.

 

Can't partner be 5332 with his 16 count?

 

or 4432 with his 17 count.

 

We're not even gonna bid stayman to find out about partner's shape?

Even if partner has a fit, what's the point in looking for it? Ruffing value will be in his hand, while he needs to have high trumps to keep control of the suit. So basically you'll be ruffing with high trumps, great plan.

And what if s split 4-1 or worse? You could go down while NT makes.

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I had a similar 16 count, 4333 hand at the club the other day. Partner opened 1N and remembering this, I smoothly pulled out the 3N card. Top board , making 3N exactly as others got too high. At the time, my RHO snorted at my 3N bid but afterwards came up and asked why I hadn't bid 4N. Thanks VG!
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Right, because we'll be able to find this out using stayman... OF COURSE, why didn't I think of that. I'll bid stayman to find partner's exact shape. Perfect.

 

 

I use stayman with this level of HCP when I am 5332. The 9 card fit probably plays better than 3NT plus probably more comfortable slam tries in the 29-32 range.

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