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lead that cost me 500$


Fluffy

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I am seriously tempted by a club lead. RHO made a long suit trial in diamonds, so he should have either only a few clubs, or xxx. LHO would not have cued if he felt he had wasted values, which suggests that the opponents have value concentration in spades, hearts, and possibly diamonds. It feels a lot like a hand where tricks could be going away if we dont claim them, so while Ace of clubs can be wrong, it can also be very right. Besides, on the assumption that rho cannot have Kxx clubs, it is wrong only in the case that rho has Kx club precisely.

 

A trump could also be right, but it seems to need declarer to want a club ruff. I doubt I can prevent him getting a diamond ruff if he needs it/partner is not over ruffing anyway.

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Suppose the auction had gone:

 

P - 1;

2 - 3;

3 - 4

 

Wouldn't we all be tempted by a diamond lead? Here we have responder cooperating with a slam try and opener only interested in game. What we don't know is if opener is messing with us to avoid a diamond lead or had a legitimate game try in diamonds. That thinking can make a diamond lead either totally spectacular or a total flop.

 

I'm going to buy to let myself be psyched out and lead a diamond. Then I can be a hero or a zero.

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[hv=pc=n&s=s7532hj9dj982caj4&w=sajt8hq62dq5c8632&n=sq964h853dktckt95&e=skhakt74da7643cq7]399|300[/hv]

 

I though about club ace for a while but finally decided to go with the field and lead my sistemic spade 3, declarer hesitated forever before playing J and partner didn't work out the lay out (should he?) covering and letting declarer get rid of both his clubs.

 

Maybe a top spade does the work.

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