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Play 3NT


lowerline

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At trick 2 clearly the 10. There are big advantages to playing it from hand (LHO may have K(x) or KQx+), so win trick 1 in hand. What card does RHO play?

 

If the 10 wins, Q both to unblock and to test the clubs. If an honor falls there are at least 10 tricks. If not continuing clubs works if the K is onside and the opponents can't establish 3 major suit tricks plus two clubs. Most RHOs would betray some indication if they duck the 10 from Qxx or KQxx. Lacking such indication East rates to have 9-10 black cards and hence can establish 5 black winners and/or the K is wrong. So probably my next move would be a low to the J creating 8 sure tricks and with a couple of chances including an endplay for a 9th trick in .

 

If the 10 is covered or if it loses, continue clubs and hope the opponents don't find a way to create 5 tricks.

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