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To finesse or not to finesse ?


zeroNT

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north hand

 

S x

H T

D AKJxx

C A

 

your hand

 

S x

H QJxx

D Txx

C -

 

You have to win all the tricks, H is trump and oppons have no more trumps. Do you discard Sx on CA and finesse in D or discard a D on CA then ruff a D, enter dummy again with H T ? Does 2nd line has better than 50% chance ?

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north hand

 

S x

H T

D AKJxx

C A

 

your hand

 

S x

H QJxx

D Txx

C -

 

You have to win all the tricks, H is trump and oppons have no more trumps. Do you discard Sx on CA and finesse in D or discard a D on CA then ruff a D, enter dummy again with H T ? Does 2nd line has better than 50% chance ?

 

It depends on what count I have on the opponents hands. But with no other information 3-2 diamonds is greater than 50%.

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north hand

 

S x

H T

D AKJxx

C A

 

your hand

 

S x

H QJxx

D Txx

C -

 

You have to win all the tricks, H is trump and oppons have no more trumps. Do you discard Sx on CA and finesse in D or discard a D on CA then ruff a D, enter dummy again with H T ? Does 2nd line has better than 50% chance ?

 

Not having full information I will assume there are no indications that suggest 3-2 are very unlikely then clearly the superior line is to set up the 4&5 using the T as an entry

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