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Just a lead.


OleBerg

  

20 members have voted

  1. 1. What's your lead?



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[hv=pc=n&s=saq8h8742da842c98&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=1cp1hp1np2hppp]133|200[/hv]

 

1NT was 12-14, no 4-card spade.

2 was sign-off (checkback in use).

 

Comments are welcome.

Tricky. Your sig includes the nice bit of snide about 2/1 from gnasher, forestalling my temptation to assume MP since not stated.

 

At IMPs I'd go for the throat with a low diamond. Assuming length < 3 in dummy (else little hope to defeat) the underlead has reasonable compensatory prospects.

 

At MP, .

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I'm not going to lead/underlead an ace into the stronger hand, nor leading a club into his main suit.

 

 

It's not into, it's through. That is a big difference.

 

A trump lead seems like it gives up tempo and the possibility of getting a ruff or a tap, etc etc. I like leading trumps more than most but this seems like the wrong time for it.

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I never led from AQx or AQxx dunno how it works.

 

Free online lesson:

 

Say the opponents bid to 6 and you hold AQx.

 

Take the Ace. If the King doesn't appear in dummy, switch. If it does, continue diamonds. Often declarer will play for the drop.

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I would lead the 9 of clubs...everything else seems pretty absurd actually!

 

What is the point of a low diamond, we're trying to tap them? I don't even get it. Maybe I'll get a club ruff and set them, if not I probably didn't blow a trick.

With lowish heart spots the value of leading a doubleton club is greatly diminished. And there is the risk of declarer running away with trumps and clubs.

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. Maybe I'll get a club ruff and set them, if not I probably didn't blow a trick.

 

Are you sure ? Opener will be 3235 or 3334 most of the time due to raising with 3 cards tradition which i am not a big fan of it btw. And responder hands vary. He has at least 3 if not 4 imo. Pd could make a 2 balance with 5 or even with 4 sometimes. Low can blow a trick, but same goes for lead. In fact, if lead is wrong, it will probably blow more than 1 trick for defense i am afraid.

 

The more i think, the more i like my chances with low actually. Even if everything goes bad with this lead, as Marshall Miles would say, it is still a very good investment in a long match :D Being unpredictable always pay in bigger hands when you do something standart, especially when u make your unpredictable moves in situations like that where nothing else is more clear and the contract is just 2 ;)

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I think the most likely shapes around the table are 3235-4234-3532 and 3235-3244-4522. With more shape partner might have acted at some point.

 

Those distributions don't exactly scream for an active lead. It might be possible to set up dummy's clubs with a single ruff, but it's more likely that partner has them under control.

 

Originally I though a club was right, but it's unappealing to lead what's probably dummy's five-card suit. I'd lead a heart.

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