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Babes and sucklings


dburn

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Rduran is making several arbitrary assumptions. While an 8 card suit is possible a 7 card suit is more likely because partner probably has a diamond void and the colors are more attractive for preempting, although there is a style element here. When partner has a 7 card suit we will need a surprise in spades - either the Q or xxx (and the suit splitting 2-2) to make this.

 

The examples with the 8 hearts and the KC are rather well chosen to say the least.Even a 2704 does not give us a good play since we need 22 trumps to stay in dummy after trump are drawn. A trump lead is not impossible either which may dampen our chances.

 

In spite of Dburn's comment I would be surprised to get doubled in 5 or get the satisfaction of doubling 6.

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I bid 5, we preempt very agressive at these colors. By the way, if i decided to bid 6, i would definetely start with 5 first. Pd will be on lead in 6.

 

About the forcing pass auction of holders. This will be pdship agreement. I play the pass forcing more often than others, in situations like we bid game vulnerable and the preempters pd made a save. I know pd may have bid with a very light hand and other opponent was not coming from pass and all..But so what ? Playing forcing pass more frequent than others cause doubled making contracts by opponents, about 5 imps, but not being able to tell pd our intention, due to not being sure who has the strength, fear, leads to less accurate decisions at high level and costs much more in long run imo.

 

To me not playing forcing pass in auctions like that, is like betting against ourselves. And i know i am in minority who likes to play the pass by opener here as forcing.

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Are you tellin me with AQ 8th of hearts, u wouldn't bid 4H over 1D?

 

No (though on the hands strong enough to compete to the 5-level on their own, especially with a possible 2nd defensive trick, 1H then 4 or 5 on the next round would cross my mind.)

 

But at favorable my 4H jumps are going to vastly more often be 3-7-1-2 with HAQ and nothing else, or A9xxxxx in hearts and a stray king somewhere, or Q-8th and another face card. What I said was that the posted example with AQ-8th and the CK was at least 1 1/2 tricks stronger than typical, partner knows I am going to bid on the assumption he has 6 or 6 1/2 tricks, and IF he chooses to bid 4H with an 8-trick hand he has taken a calculated risk that he will cause us to miss a slam by doing it.

 

Without doing a sim, I expect partner to have an 8-card heart suit maybe 25% of the time (and most of those without the CK.)

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5. To make 6 partner would need a fine vulnerable 4 bid, which is against the odds to hold when bidding 4 not vulnerable and is rendered much further unlikely in that it requires a low-hcp construction for the 5 bid. More typically 5 is already a save with say xx,Q109xxxx,--,QJxx opposite.
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5 wtp?

 

Re Force: I always make an effort to clear such things up before game-start.

 

In my current partnership we would be in a force, as we have bid game alone red, and there where no stronger route available. (It migth be wise to use 4NT as a forcing raise to 5, but we don't.)

 

With a completely unknown partner, I would be rather clueless as to whether it was forcing, but I would guess it was. (With many of my "once-in-a while partners" I believe I'd be on wavelength.)

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