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Square Peg


Phil

  

26 members have voted

  1. 1. Over 3 diamonds

    • Pass
      11
    • 3 hearts
      0
    • 3 spades
      2
    • 3N
      7
    • 4 diamonds
      6
    • Something else
      0


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We might miss some decent games Adam, the same games we will miss passing partner's 2 rebid, wich is what we'd do if opponents passed.

 

Some of your examples are borderline with a double instead of 3, in fact I'd double with all of them.

 

I think there's a fundamental philosophy difference here. The question is whether 3 in the given auction shows a better hand than a 2 rebid unobstructed. There seems to be one school of thought that it's basically automatic to rebid 3 with a 5-5 or a 6-4 even if holding only ten or eleven points, and that therefore the 3 bid isn't very different in strength than the 2 unobstructed (just a little more shapely). Under this school of thought the view is that while it might be that partner has a good 5-5 or 6-4, we are more likely to get overboard than find a making game by bidding on, because usually partner has a 5-5 eleven count.

 

The other view is that a free bid at the three-level here shows a better-than-minimum hand. This would be perhaps a king more than we would usually open (so say a 5-5 or 6-4 13-count or a 5-4 15-count). Opposite such a hand, we will very often have a game and at least should have four-level safety, and so should take another call on this hand.

 

Perhaps one can split the difference somehow by using double or 2NT on some hand types (although I don't think there are really good "standard" definitions for how this works).

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I also don't see why partner can be 6-4 or 5-5, that seems unplayable. What does partner do with 2-3? 6-4 can just bid 3H since our 1N bid showed 2 hearts almost always, but if it didn't want to do that surely it could start with double.

 

♠- ♥KQJxxx ♦AKJx ♣xxx offers decent play for 4♥.

 

I mean geez what is this hand doing bidding 3D? That just seems awful.

 

I concede that there are some specific 5-5s that make 5D better than 50/50. However:

 

♠- ♥AKQxx ♦KQJxx ♣xxx is pretty cold for 5♦.

 

5D seems far from cold on this hand. How are you going to play it? If you don't have a line better than 4-3 hearts and 3-2 diamonds then you're still about 50/50, and it's matchpoints, and you gave partner arguably the strongest possible hand for bidding 3D.

 

If nine points with the best possible spade stopper for a suit contract (ace-empty) is a minimum 1NT for you, then your range for 1NT in this auction is rather different from mine (which would be about 7 to a bad 10).

 

I said 9 was in the middle to me. I believe that to be completely standard. I do not believe bidding 2N over 1S with an average 10 count is a normal bid. I also do not believe that bidding 1N with all 7 counts is a normal bid.

 

You bring up that you have the best spade stopper for a suit contract, but you ignore that you have zero high cards in partners suits, and zero fits for partner! Very strange to me. If 9 is in the middle, since this is a terrible 9 it is closer to the bottom than the top for me.

 

I do not get the point of playing a system where I cannot compete when it is right to do so, when partner has almost no chance to balance. Are you really happy to pass with --- AQxxx AJxxx xxx or any of the numerous hands like that, and defend 2S? Is near-automatically losing on all hands where you opened a 5-5 hand less than a good 15 worth it to you so that your 3D bid can show invitational values, enough for partner to bid with no fit and no HCP in your suits? It seems like the priorities are getting messed up when that's the case.

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Many 5-5 11-counts still offer good play for 4.

 

I think you are way overestimating our hands offensive power, for instance saying game is pretty much cold opposite --- AKQxx KQJxx xxx. This would all be true if we had a FOURTH diamond, but we don't. I don't really want to take my chances for 10 tricks a 5-3 fit, a stiff in partner's first suit, and no high cards in his suit, and half the deck. I'm sure if you did a simulation on how often game makes oppposite a 0553 11 count, it will be very low.

 

Are the hands above not 3 bids for you? Are you forcing game or jump-rebidding 4 opposite partner's "I have a little something, including a spade card" on these hands?

 

As usual in competitive auctions something has to give. When my options are to make a NF bid or a GF bid, I will undoubtedly have to guess sometimes, and I will undoubtedly guess wrong sometimes. This is fine with me, in those situations invitational bids are always the first to go. Everyone is bidding, everyone has shown some values, and I'm trying to compete and not sell out to 2S when it's wrong. This is such a hugely more likely scenario than me guesisng wrong on whether to bid game or not that I am still having trouble understanding your "school" of thought here. How often when everyone is bidding etc do you both have an invitational hand and guess wrong on what to do with it? How often do you have a competitive hand (ie any 5-5 10-14)? The latter seems obviously way more likely to me.

 

I guess what is strange to me about this hand is that even if partner had told me his 3D bid was invitational I would pass in a heart beat, especially if he could be 6-4.

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[- AKQxx KQJxx xxx]

5D seems far from cold on this hand. How are you going to play it? If you don't have a line better than 4-3 hearts and 3-2 diamonds then you're still about 50/50

Since you ask: ruff the spade lead, club to the king, three top hearts. I can probably cope with hearts 5-2 the right way around and diamonds 4-1 either way. But I agree that it's unwise to expect partner to have this hand.

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Everything has probably been said in this thread, but I just like to repeat that we cannot expect partner to pass with a spade void and 5-5 in the reds, especially at MPs. If you don't play G/B or something similar than 3D is just competitive and not forward going at all.

 

I also really dislike 1NT. We have 5 spades and a singleton heart.

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