Jump to content

what do you bid?


raist

AQ7653 K84 4 963  

32 members have voted

  1. 1. All Vul, bidding goes (pass)-pass-(1D) to you in 4th seat. AQ7653 K84 4 963

    • 1S
    • 2S (assuming it is weak, in response to kenrexford's post :))
    • pass
      0


Recommended Posts

At one time, I thought that the only situation for direct-seat intermediate jump overcalls was red-v-white. OI am now doubting that conclusion. IMO, the high risk of light third-seat openings, and the lower likelihood of weak overcalls after two passes, suggests that any four-seat jump overcalls should also be intermediate.

 

Therefore, my new position is that 2 here should really be an intermediate jump overcall. This hand does not qualify for that, and hence my 1 vote.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In this thread I was talking about preempting, not bidding to make.

 

When I preempt, I am looking for good spots and quacks in my long suit. AQ5432 is not a suit I want to preempt in, especially not as a WJO and especially not vulnerable. KQT9xx is much MUCH better for a preempt. Of course, some people will agree with all this but still say that it's worth bidding 2S here. My experience is that it's not.

 

Mind you, I would be happy to bid 2S if I was NV. it's not that I never preempt when I have the ace, I just noted a negative factor that people have not noted before me.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

These arguments about pre-empts go round and round. Sure, I might go for a number, but then I might miss a sacrifice by bidding 1s 2s as partner will assume I have more defence and less offence, and i might never get the chance to show my 6th spade. It also matters a lot what you bid 1s-3s on. You will lose a lot here if partner is allowed to make mixed raises on balanced and unbalanced shapes since you will never be able to judge effectively to bid 4s after say 1d-1s-x-3s-4h ?. If you had bid 2S partner would probably be able to judge. It also depends how good your opps are, as bad pre-empts work best versus weak opps. Essentially it improves the expectation when they bid badly. Anyone who wants to do well in mixed ability fields should vary pre-empt style based on your opposition. Obviously if you are playing a WC you wouldn't do that. 2S is a more effective preempt than 2H, and you should be prepared to do it on worse hands here. You would have to be playing WC opposition for one to even imagine that the tactical gain from 2S is not worth the risk. Agree with gwinn that a suit like KQJT9x is much better for a preempt, but disagree that this is bad. Also, if you are too disciplined it helps the opposition a lot when you do pre-empt. So everywhere there are trade offs to be made. Finally, what you have is not always that important compared to what opposition will think that you will have. In a world of conservative pre-emptors you gain from pre-empting badly as they will base their judgement on their expected norms for your pre-empt, rather than on what you are actually likely to have. Say all red you are in second with a trump holding KJx and the bidding foes 3s p p x p ? If opposs are conservative you might think, his trumps are poor he will definitely have 7 and maybe 8, I'd better not risk a pass, or you might think "He has at most 4 trump tricks probably", and its important to realise that none of that thought process depends on your actual hand.

 

FWIW I think this is a clear 2S bid. Would bid 1S at red vs white. Against poor oppos I would almost certainly bid 3S at white vs red.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, they do go round and round and we all choose a style based on our ideas and experiences and stick to our style and only change it gradually and in unknowable ways and nobody's mind will be changed by these posts. what else is new?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...