2C Opening?

[gordontd]

there are plus %ages for the opps screwing up the opening lead but that is an uncalculable intangible

They might lead a trump picking up their partner's doubleton??? :lol:

[campboy]

I agree with Blackshoe that few players maintain an authenticated database of their past auctions. Directors may have personal experience of the habits of some local players; but usually that information will be fragmented or anecdotal. if, in spite of its subjective nature, they decide to use that "evidence", how can they avoid a bias when dealing with strangers and foreigners, about whom they have no history.

I think anyone who habitually opened 6-counts would become well-known very quickly. Anyway, the laws require TDs to collect and weigh evidence in order to rule. It is not the TD's fault if evidence is easier to find in some cases than others.

 

@Gordon: they might lead a spade allowing you to discard a loser on dummy's ace.

[nige1]

I think anyone who habitually opened 6-counts would become well-known very quickly. Anyway, the laws require TDs to collect and weigh evidence in order to rule. It is not the TD's fault if evidence is easier to find in some cases than others.

What if, I open 1♥, "habitually", in third seat, on any Yarborough? :) (Assume that I don't advertise this ploy)

[RMB1]

What if, I open 1♥, "habitually", in third seat, on any Yarborough? :) (Assume that I don't advertise this ploy)

The opportunities are probably sufficiently rare that no partner will notice and it will remain a psyche each time it happens.

[mjj29]

What if, I open 1♥, "habitually", in third seat, on any Yarborough? :) (Assume that I don't advertise this ploy)

No, the correct bid is 2NT with a yarborough, 2S with a singleton beer card, 2H with a straight flush, 2D with 4 of a kind and 2C with 2-pair aces and eights. Surely everyone knows about Bacon Torpedo (slightly extended here to include all 5 two level bids) :P

 

Matt

[nige1]

No, the correct bid is 2NT with a yarborough, 2S with a singleton beer card, 2H with a straight flush, 2D with 4 of a kind and 2C with 2-pair aces and eights. Surely everyone knows about Bacon Torpedo (slightly extended here to include all 5 two level bids) :P

:) :) :) :) :)

Bacon Torpedo is not licensed by the EBU for use in any events. The rules about systematic psyching, and lack of an anchor suit make it likely that anyone playing Bacon in an EBU event would be disqualified from the event and (forcibly) ejected from the EBU. This is unlikely to change in the forseeable future.

Years ago, on BLML, I advanced a similar idea. But mine was seriously intended :(

[twcho]

It was a bootstrap calculation. The odds of partner having one of the necessary aces is 55%. The probability you can bring in ♣ for no losers is pretty high say 80%. The product of the two gets to 44%

And the chance of making 6♣ will be higher than 50% because it will be defeated only if the opening leader can find the correct ace(s) to cash.

 

That's a very intuitive hint by pooltuna. I have never thought that the chance of making slam holding a 11 semi-solid suit will be more than 50%.