gwnn Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 Does anyone really read/interpret other people's numbers? :P I wonder if anyone will notice that this post has no numbers in it :rolleyes: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveharty Posted October 22, 2010 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I think we've established that self rating systems fail. I certainly agree as far as skill level is concerned, which is why I definitely don't want to use a skill component. But don't you think people would have an incentive to accurately represent their own preferences? The whole point is to be able to determine at a glance whether someone might be PHILOSOPHICALLY compatible as a partner. Finding someone at roughly the same skill level (or a superior player willing to "play down") is an entirely different kettle of fish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 (I apologize in advance if someone has already suggested something like this.)If you are like me you get a lot of email spam pushing "personality surveys", Briggs Myers tests, etc. I don't know much about these, other than they purport to boil one's personality down to a short string of characters for classification purposes. I'm not sure how useful they are, but I was considering the problem of partner compatibility in bridge, and thought something like this might be useful for identifying other players that might be a good match for your own "bridge personality" and preferences. If you could look at another player's profile and there was, say, some sort of shorthand code for where they stood along various bridge-related axes, it might be more useful than trying to distill from a list of preferred conventions what sort of player someone is. So I came up with six characteristics which might be useful for this purpose; a player could self-evaluate where they stand on these six axes by assigning a number from 1 to 9 , and come up with a string like 378562, or 294451, or whatever. Someone who was "middle of the road" on all six axes would be a 555555.Please note that I am not approaching the topic of self-evaluation of SKILL LEVEL. We are all aware of the problems with that. These characteristics are more indications of your bridge "philosophy" in various areas, for the purposes of determining compatibility with potential partners. I'm sure that my list of characteristics could be refined and improved, please don't hesitate to make suggestions. My list (the first two deal with bidding/system issues, the next two with defensive issues, and the last two are more general):1. COMPLICATION. This would measure how comfortable someone is with depth of agreements in a bidding system. A "1" would prefer very few agreements (maybe Goren Standard circa 1950 or so), while a "9" would enjoy system notes running into the hundreds of pages. There might be some correlation between a higher Complication number and a preference for system artificiality, but I can also imagine someone who prefers natural methods that wants to explore every possible permutation of the auction.2. BIDDING AGGRESSION. Fairly self-explanatory. A "1" would be ultra-sound, always having full values for overcalls, classic shape for various doubles, textbook preempts, etc. A "9" would be ultra-aggressive, someone who frequently (constantly?) takes "suspect" actions for the sake of causing problems for the opponents; they go for a lot of numbers but think that the tradeoff is ultimately worth it.3. CARDING PHILOSOPHY. This would measure someone's preference for depth of defensive agreements. A "1" would prefer very few carding agreements, relying instead on judgment and general principles. A "9" would prefer extensive carding agreements where every spot card played has a specific and identifiable meaning.4. LEAD AGGRESSION. Within the bounds dictated by scoring form considerations, a "1" would almost never make an aggressive or attacking lead, preferring instead to make safe leads that are unlikely to give anything up. A "9" almost always makes attacking leads, even at matchpoints, preferring to go for the set.5. COMPETITIVENESS. A "1" might regard bridge as a purely social activity, or as a purely cerebral exercise in problem-solving. A "9" regards bridge as a bloodsport, or as a forum to express their intellectual dominance.6. "POST-MORTEMITIS". This would measure someone's willingness/eagerness to engage in postmortems. A "1" doesn't really care for discussing the hands afterwards; once they are done, it's on to the next game. A "9" prefers to go over their results with a fine-toothed comb, whether good or bad; the post-mortem might last as long or longer than the session itself.So, that's my list. For what it's worth, I would call myself a 775567.Any opinions A good idea, Dave! but I'm all at sixes and sevens :)8675309I found it eventually on Youtube :) More scales ....SADO-MASOCHIST. No matter who is at fault, most players blame their partners; but a few blame themselves.OPT/PESSIMIST. Some play as if they needed a top at match-points. Others search for a sure-trick line as of they were playing rubber-bridge for their life.EXTRO/INTROVERT. Some socialise with opponents like long lost lovers. Others behave like Trappist monks to opponents and partner alike.SLOW-QUICK. Some players take forever. Others play like lightning.BOSS-SLAVE: Some players (like Hugh Kelsey) master-mind the auction, often jumping to a likely contract, in the belief that daisy-picking just helps opponents. Others (like the Sharples brothers), consult partner, happily giving away information, provided they always reach the right contract as a result. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
W Kovacs Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I certainly agree as far as skill level is concerned, which is why I definitely don't want to use a skill component. But don't you think people would have an incentive to accurately represent their own preferences? The whole point is to be able to determine at a glance whether someone might be PHILOSOPHICALLY compatible as a partner. Finding someone at roughly the same skill level (or a superior player willing to "play down") is an entirely different kettle of fish.I'm wondering if the numbers SHOULD match up between regular partners. Obviously some of them should. System complexity kind of has to be agreed between the partners. But what about bidding aggression. My partner is pretty aggressive. Knowing that, I usually temper my enthusiasm, knowing that he is known to overbid at times in competitive auctions. So that score probably needs a little bit of disparity. As for the new scales, I am on the masochist side of things, blaming myself often. I am very much on the pessimist side, in life as well as at the bridge table. I am slightly on the introverted side. I'll acknowledge good play, both by our side or by the opponents, but I don't give out kudos on every hand. I play very fast (probably too fast), but my bidding tends to be pretty even unless I need to search the memory banks for a particular bid's meaning. Playing precision, informative auctions are the norm, both to partner and to the opponents. And that damn song is now going through my mind now. Thanks a lot. Eight Six Seven Five Three Oh Niiine! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveharty Posted October 22, 2010 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 A good idea, Dave! but I'm all at sixes and sevens :) More scales ....SADO-MASOCHIST. No matter who is at fault, most players blame their partners; but a few blame themselves.OPTIMIST-PESSIMIST. Some play as if they needed a top at match-points. Others search for a sure-trick line as of they were playing rubber-bridge for their life.EXTRO/INTROVERT. Some socialise with opponents like long lost lovers. Others behave like Trappist monks to opponents and partner alike.SLOW-QUICK. Some players take forever. Others play like lightning.BOSS-SLAVE: Some players (like Hugh Kelsey) master-mind the auction, often jumping to a likely contract, in the belief that daisy-picking just helps opponents. Others (like the Sharples brothers), consult partner, happily giving away information, provided they always reach the right contract as a result. LOL, nice scales :D The Slow/Quick scale is an especially good idea I think. It can be a real partnership-killer when two people's tempos are wildly unmatched. Also it might cut down on all the "Faster plsssssssss" if people could look at your profiles and see that you and your partner are both 1's! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olegru Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I wonder if anyone will notice that this post has no numbers in it :rolleyes:Actually it is no correct :)I see numbers 777 at the end of your post. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustinst22 Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 Great thread, Dave. I'd rate myself a 77788. Of course lead aggression vs lead passivity? is completely dependent on the scoring mechanism and situation. When the situation is right, I tend to lean towards the aggressive side. Same goes with bid aggression. Both are situational. p.s. How do you rate number 5 if you regard Bridge as a bloodsport and you like the social aspect? :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I can do a principal component analysis on the data later, so that we can identify typical player profiles. The questions asked could probably be improved for this matter, but let's not make it too hard :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cloa513 Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 Bidding Aggression: 1 should be even more conservative than that doesn't preempt, only opens with 13 HCP and sometimes not even that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted October 22, 2010 Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I don't think number 3 in particular warrants such a large scale. I don't think there are many pairs who have more carding agreements than, say, 2 or 3 pages. I don't think there is any pair out there who believe all their spots mean something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveharty Posted October 22, 2010 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2010 I don't think number 3 in particular warrants such a large scale. I don't think there are many pairs who have more carding agreements than, say, 2 or 3 pages. I don't think there is any pair out there who believe all their spots mean something. Yeah, I think I agree about this one; I just kept the same scale to keep it consistent with the others. Maybe it would be more meaningful to follow wyman's suggestion and use a five-point scale for everything, with "3" being average. My 77 55 76 would then translate into: 44 33 44. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matmat Posted October 23, 2010 Report Share Posted October 23, 2010 Yeah, I think I agree about this one; I just kept the same scale to keep it consistent with the others. Maybe it would be more meaningful to follow wyman's suggestion and use a five-point scale for everything, with "3" being average. My 77 55 76 would then translate into: 44 33 44.That's a pretty extreme hourglass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted October 23, 2010 Report Share Posted October 23, 2010 Preliminary PCA data: (obtained out of software PASW 18) Rotated Component Matrix(a) Component 1 2 3 complication ,660 ,460 ,286 aggression ,775 -,351 -,025 carding ,054 -,034 ,951 leads -,779 -,017 -,019 competitiveness -,092 -,780 ,219 postmortem -,197 ,767 ,180 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Equamax with Kaiser Normalization. a. Rotation converged in 5 iterations. Not quite sure what to make of this, though :) The PCA identifies 3 main profiles, which we could perhaps classify as... 1. the "aggressive bidder", who focus on scientific, agressive bidding but tends to be conservative in card play2. the "results merchant", conservative player, mainly worried of winning the post mortem3. the "card play freak", who doesn't care much about bidding but tracks every spot card But the data is still insufficient. For higher confidence we need more input :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siegmund Posted October 23, 2010 Report Share Posted October 23, 2010 The PCA identifies 3 main profiles... the agressive bidder, the results merchant, and the cardplay freak No, it doesn't. You misunderstand PCA. The PCA identified 3 axes along which to classify people, rather than the original six. The most important classifies people on a spectrum of "complicated and aggressive bidding, and heavy reliance on logic during the cardplay" to "simple and conservative bidding, and heavy reliance on carding agreements during the cardplay". Secondarily, it classifies people on a spectrum of "serious about the game vs. serious about the postmortem," and asserts that your seriousness about the game is very nearly independent of where you land on the complexity scale. Thirdly, it classifies people according to their cardplay agreements, separating out the factors which were confounded in the first-level classification If you also tell us what the mean scores for each of the six categories are, we can get from our raw scores to our factor scores, and find out what our tendencies are in regard to each of the above. (And yes, we do have a very small sample, especially since many of the respondents have similar attitudes to the game.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSGibson Posted October 23, 2010 Report Share Posted October 23, 2010 ...1. COMPLICATION. This would measure how comfortable someone is with depth of agreements in a bidding system. A "1" would prefer very few agreements (maybe Goren Standard circa 1950 or so), while a "9" would enjoy system notes running into the hundreds of pages. There might be some correlation between a higher Complication number and a preference for system artificiality, but I can also imagine someone who prefers natural methods that wants to explore every possible permutation of the auction. I'm a 7 here, I enjoy complex bidding agreements, but I also like an underlying structure which is logically consistent, as opposed to "theoretically best" agreements that involve straight memorization. 2. BIDDING AGGRESSION. Fairly self-explanatory. A "1" would be ultra-sound, always having full values for overcalls, classic shape for various doubles, textbook preempts, etc. A "9" would be ultra-aggressive, someone who frequently (constantly?) takes "suspect" actions for the sake of causing problems for the opponents; they go for a lot of numbers but think that the tradeoff is ultimately worth it. This is hard for me to rate. I tend to have full values for my constructive calls, but I can also be an "imaginative" bidder. Probably this makes me a 5. 3. CARDING PHILOSOPHY. This would measure someone's preference for depth of defensive agreements. A "1" would prefer very few carding agreements, relying instead on judgment and general principles. A "9" would prefer extensive carding agreements where every spot card played has a specific and identifiable meaning. Something around an 8. I give lots of suit preference in my spot card play. 4. LEAD AGGRESSION. Within the bounds dictated by scoring form considerations, a "1" would almost never make an aggressive or attacking lead, preferring instead to make safe leads that are unlikely to give anything up. A "9" almost always makes attacking leads, even at matchpoints, preferring to go for the set. Here I'm probably around a 5. I try to listen to the auction, and make leads accordingly. 5. COMPETITIVENESS. A "1" might regard bridge as a purely social activity, or as a purely cerebral exercise in problem-solving. A "9" regards bridge as a bloodsport, or as a forum to express their intellectual dominance. Here, a 3. I try to win every time out, and in every auction, but I tend to want to win on skill and judgment, not intimidation or through lawyering, especially at club events. 6. "POST-MORTEMITIS". This would measure someone's willingness/eagerness to engage in postmortems. A "1" doesn't really care for discussing the hands afterwards; once they are done, it's on to the next game. A "9" prefers to go over their results with a fine-toothed comb, whether good or bad; the post-mortem might last as long or longer than the session itself. Probably like a 6 or something, and one of my biggest weaknesses as a partner - I will post-mortem at the table, or immediately after a round away from a table constantly, if dispassionately. I like going over hand records with partners when we're at a tournament or something, but not after a club game, mostly because I play evenings and work in the mornings I ended up a 758536 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 785875 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 No, it doesn't. You misunderstand PCA. The PCA identified 3 axes along which to classify people, rather than the original six. The most important classifies people on a spectrum of "complicated and aggressive bidding, and heavy reliance on logic during the cardplay" to "simple and conservative bidding, and heavy reliance on carding agreements during the cardplay". Secondarily, it classifies people on a spectrum of "serious about the game vs. serious about the postmortem," and asserts that your seriousness about the game is very nearly independent of where you land on the complexity scale. Thirdly, it classifies people according to their cardplay agreements, separating out the factors which were confounded in the first-level classification If you also tell us what the mean scores for each of the six categories are, we can get from our raw scores to our factor scores, and find out what our tendencies are in regard to each of the above. (And yes, we do have a very small sample, especially since many of the respondents have similar attitudes to the game.) Thanks a lot. The interpretation wasn't very clear from the book I read. But let me ask you one thing: I didn't quite get from your statement that axis 3 is independent of axis 1. Is it or is it not? I would say yes, since the whole point of the rotation is to make things independent, right? :) I have the mean scores, but let's wait for more data to come in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfa1010 Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 Here, a 3. I try to win every time out, and in every auction, but I tend to want to win on skill and judgment, not intimidation or through lawyering, especially at club events. Being competitive is far from synonymous with trying to win through lawyering, intimidation or some other angleshooting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrothgar Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 Thanks a lot. The interpretation wasn't very clear from the book I read. But let me ask you one thing: I didn't quite get from your statement that axis 3 is independent of axis 1. Is it or is it not? I would say yes, since the whole point of the rotation is to make things independent, right? :) I have the mean scores, but let's wait for more data to come in. Principal Component Analysis is best understood as a combination of Centering, Scaling, and Rotation. You start by centering and scaling your data.Next, you rotate the data such that the dimension with the greatest degree of variance is your first loading. Your second loading is the the dimension which is 1. Orthogonal to the first dimension2. Explains the next greatest degree of variance Repeat as necessary Once you're performed your PCA you need to (try to) map your loadings onto something intelligible. There isn't necessarily any relationship between your loadings and your original variables. There are some good examples out there that show PCA applied to image processing with multi-spectral images which might help develop your intuition. I recall one example where they were analyzing a satellite image of a town up in the mountains. The original dimensions where the different wavelengths that the satellite was scanning. The first loading turned out to be a measure of how reflective different backgrounds where.The second loading was a combination of a couple infrared spectra... For what you're trying to do classical multidimensional scaling is probably a better approach. However, in either case you don't have nearly enough data. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdeegan Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 :D 382745Thanks for presenting us with a very nice self-evaluation device. It raises some nice issues that are important for all bridge players, but not often discussed. Some random thoughts: 1. COMPLICATION - make sure partner is with you. 2. BIDDING AGGRESSION - a grand slam with 13 tricks but off two aces but only one of them cashes is 50% unless the bidding gives the right lead away. 3. CARDING PHILOSOPHY - good declarers can read your signals too. 4. LEAD AGGRESSION - listen to the bidding 5. COMPETITIVENESS - bridge is a sport without any physical activity to blow off steam, so it is easy to get over-amped on your own adrenaline. Try not to press too hard. Also, you will do better if you keep focused on the object of the game (to score points) and play it one hand at a time. 6. POST-MORTEMS - it's how you learn the game, but be very careful who you learn from Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awm Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 I'd hope that all reasonably good players would listen to the bidding before selecting an opening lead. However, I think there are a lot of auctions which do not strongly call for any particular lead; perhaps 1NT-3NT is the most frequent (sure, there is a slight preference for a major suit lead). On this sequence, aggressive leaders will usually lead 4th best from longest/strongest suit, whereas passive leaders will prefer to lead from two or three small (especially in a major). Of course, one can come up with examples where everyone leads from weakness (like a hand with very little values where you basically have to try to hit partner) or from strength (a sequence in a major pretty much screams "lead me" on this auction) but there are plenty of rather "typical" hands where decisions can be made. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrecisionL Posted October 24, 2010 Report Share Posted October 24, 2010 Interesting: 8 7 6 2 8 8 (after the game) 2: usually passive unless hints from the bidding for aggressive lead. Partner should be willing to learn and try new things & not an unusually slow player Willing to play with most Precision partners. ENTF (Myers Briggs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daveharty Posted October 25, 2010 Author Report Share Posted October 25, 2010 I'd hope that all reasonably good players would listen to the bidding before selecting an opening lead. However, I think there are a lot of auctions which do not strongly call for any particular lead; perhaps 1NT-3NT is the most frequent (sure, there is a slight preference for a major suit lead). On this sequence, aggressive leaders will usually lead 4th best from longest/strongest suit, whereas passive leaders will prefer to lead from two or three small (especially in a major). Of course, one can come up with examples where everyone leads from weakness (like a hand with very little values where you basically have to try to hit partner) or from strength (a sequence in a major pretty much screams "lead me" on this auction) but there are plenty of rather "typical" hands where decisions can be made. Agree with this, and this is what I was getting at with the inclusion of Lead Aggression: it's on those hands when the auction doesn't strongly dictate a particular lead that this really manifests. Although, it might also include those situations when the auction DOES call for a particular lead (say, a trump) and the leader can't (or won't) bring them self to do it, because of a particular holding in the suit (honor doubleton for example). Really interesting discussion about the data analysis, thanks guys! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike777 Posted October 25, 2010 Report Share Posted October 25, 2010 too hard, I want part to trust me so......how can i show that? --------- everyone tells me how I can bid on crap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascade Posted October 25, 2010 Report Share Posted October 25, 2010 857727 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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