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I think he is using hanp's revolutionary new notation.

Aha, how cute!

 

In that case:

 

1) Yes I agree with the simple 4H. Slam is possible but I need partner to have 2 aces plus picking up HQ. I am usually not that lucky.

 

2) I pass. I expect 5H to make, but now +800 is likely for us.

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It's a interesting mixed notation, I'm afraid I can't take credit for this. Perhaps Brian and Fluffy are right that the notation is only useful when you have very long suits.

 

I definitely agree with 4 hearts. This bid doesn't show 8 hearts, or 10 tricks, but it's still much better than anything else.

 

I think this is a forcing pass auction. In this kind of auction (a passed hand raise of a preempt) it's usually the case that our opponenents are saccing. It's not necessarily true that the opponents always go down after this start, but playing forcing passes gives us the best chance of getting the decision right.

 

If pass is forcing, then it follows that partner should double with many hands that do not have an ace. I think it is clear to pass the double.

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Pass, if you're not getting a spade and a diamond trick off this, then one of your KQs is potentially getting ruffed in 5, so unless the 3 is very bent indeed (I got a very silly result when after a sequence like this opener turned out to be 8410) you will be taking at least 500 off this with no guarantee 5 makes. Against this, what has partner doubled on ? he can't exactly have a trump stack, and he has no kings outside the trump suit, so 2 aces or one and the KQ tight of, but in that case what has the raiser bid 5 on vulnerable ? I would suggest that partner might have one heart but quite likely has none.

 

I don't mind whether you double first or bid a straight 4.

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I think he is using hanp's revolutionary new notation.

It's a lame attempt, because in Han's notation a singleton is described as "1", not "x"... So this hand has only 10 cards, bleh!

Yeah, I'm still not sure how I feel about Han's notation; in particular when I wrote "3" (which was the spot of the x) that was clearly wrong, and when I wrote "1" that just felt weird so I mixed notations. Dunno.

 

As for what happened, here's the hand:[hv=n=sjt653h4djt873ck9&w=sa987hq5d9642cj72&e=s42h92da5caqt8654&s=skqhakjt8763dkqc3]399|300|(P)-P-(3)-4;

(5)-X-(P)-5;

AP[/hv]

 

The crowd was correct, I should have sat and lead a spade (or diamond).

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Ok, I know I don't fully grok forcing pass yet, but I thought it only triggered when we'd bid GF on strength. It's not clear that's the case, is it?

Exactly, this is not a forcing pass situation, you have no reason to suspect you're beating 5, or that you want to bid 5, defending 5 undoubled is perfectly plausible (give patrner AKQ5 and out or KQJ6).

 

I've never known something that might be a preempt trigger a forcing pass.

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I think in terms of percentage, forcing pass makes sense in this auction: 1st hand passes, 3rd hand preempts, how often can they make game (and in the rare case that they do make, we don't have a good sac or game our way)?

 

That being said, I don't think it can be assumed, this is still an area of partnership agreement.

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Exactly, this is not a forcing pass situation, you have no reason to suspect you're beating 5, or that you want to bid 5, defending 5 undoubled is perfectly plausible (give patrner AKQ5 and out or KQJ6).

 

I've never known something that might be a preempt trigger a forcing pass.

Yes, it doesn't work well when the person in 3rd seat decides to open 3 with some 18 counts...

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Exactly, this is not a forcing pass situation, you have no reason to suspect you're beating 5, or that you want to bid 5, defending 5 undoubled is perfectly plausible (give patrner AKQ5 and out or KQJ6).

 

I've never known something that might be a preempt trigger a forcing pass.

Yes, it doesn't work well when the person in 3rd seat decides to open 3 with some 18 counts...

a - LOL

b - No one will open 3 on an 18 count, if they do they will stop after they miss 3NT a few times

c - Jumping to 4 over a preempt is not a preempt

d - A preempt can even trigger a forcing pass when we haven't shown game values or even bid game! For example it's common among experts to play P P 3 X 5 P is forcing.

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Wrong section. 100% forcing pass situation if in the right section. If playing with a beginner/intermediate it's a guess and I'd prolly bid 5. If partner later explained why he doubled for the right reasons, he gets a gold star (and an apology if I bid 5.)

LOL, I was thinking the same thing. How in the world did this morph into a FP discussion in the BI's?

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