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Round 3, Board 14


inquiry

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[hv=d=e&v=n&n=skqhq982d732cak98&s=s97653h43dk9cqj76]133|200|Scoring: MP

Submitted by Hanoi5

 

Bidding Comments: East opens 2, EW pass after that (except West doubles 2NT or 3NT for penalty)

 

Hanoi comments: 15. A very interesting deal where the best action is to let them play. East opens a weak 2S and West holds the bomb but decides to pass all the time (unless N/S decide to hang themselves in NT, in which case West will double). 3C, 10; 2S(N), 9; 2NT(X), 3[/hv]

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I'm not sure but it seems like 3C by south is better than 3C by north just because given the X of 2N and the 2S opener we know that west will have a spade void and the DA and likely the HAK. Seems like having him on lead can only be good, rather than the other guy.

 

Also, I think defending 2S doubled or undoubled is bad. 2S is going to make.

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I think passing with 97xxx w/w is horrible when you have a reasonable alternative QJxx and a reasonable suit. I mean aside from the obv them making 2S (which is not unlikely at all with this horrible trump stack...), we might only beat them 1 when we can make 110 in general.

 

I feel like I'm really aggro at passing these doubles but it would not occur to me on this hand. Just because you have 5 trumps doesn't mean you have tricks.

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JLOGIC is absolutely right about passing the double of two spades -- this from someone who did that, and paid the price.

I definitely considered it for a long time because of the shape of my hand, but then I started picturing hands I'd need partner to have to set them, and decided to leb to 3.

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I'm not sure but it seems like 3C by south is better than 3C by north just because given the X of 2N and the 2S opener we know that west will have a spade void and the DA and likely the HAK. Seems like having him on lead can only be good, rather than the other guy.

 

Also, I think defending 2S doubled or undoubled is bad. 2S is going to make.

Yeah, but how many tricks do you think you make in clubs. Very likely only 6 against 140, I think it's quite likely one of the hearts is offside, I'd have a crack at 3 with void, AKxxx, AQJxx, xxx if my weak 2s are fairly sound and get a trump on the table.

 

And yes 3 by S is a lot better than 3 by N, but not that great.

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I agree with the concept that the scores suggested need adjusting. Here is how this one was bid, and the scores I have assigned.

 

3CN jdonn/gib

3CN ant590/cryzeejim

3CN bid_em_up/TylerE

3CN sohcahtoa/east4evil

3CN Karlson/threenobob

3CN olegru/driver733

3CN bluecalm/redds

3CN MBodell/Javabean

3CS gnasher/catch22

3CS hanp/jlall

3CS cherdano/rogerclee

3CS awn/elianna

3CS Hrothgar/Free

2SE peachy/Ig62

2SEx wackojack/flycycle

2SEx TimG/TgoodwinSr

 

 

3CS = 9

3CN = 6

2SE = 2

2SEx = 1

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I'm curious why 3 won't also be doubled. If I were West and had decided to pass partner's 2, I'd be doubling 3 (and leading a trump if I was on lead -- even though that doesn't seem to be best double dummy, it still leads to 300).

 

Even if you don't consider a double of 3, some EW will score +150 defending 3 while they would only score +110 or +140 playing in spades.

 

It seems to me that defending 2 (undoubled) should score better.

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I'm curious why 3 won't also be doubled.  If I were West and had decided to pass partner's 2, I'd be doubling 3 (and leading a trump if I was on lead -- even though that doesn't seem to be best double dummy, it still leads to 300).

 

Even if you don't consider a double of 3, some EW will score +150 defending 3 while they would only score +110 or +140 playing in spades.

 

It seems to me that defending 2 (undoubled) should score better.

Completely agree, if E has a top heart, you'll always take 150 out of 3, if W has AQJ or AQ10 of diamonds plus AK of hearts presumably 0553 he should be doubling, so the script suggests he doesn't have that. I think 2 undoubled is better than 3 and only loses when W has AK and E has Q.

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