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Tempted?


gnasher

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Not tempted.

 

I lead the A, and if everything goes well (club, club, club ruff, heart ruff) the contract could go a couple down... but if something does not go well they might make. If declarer has the A any heart ruff we get might be a losing heart anyway, dummy quite possibly has only 2 clubs (declarer should have 5), etc.

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Auto X at MP, I really feel +100 is likely and we really cash in when we get +300, but the extra 50 at IMPs doesn't outweigh the risk of -whatever 3X is.

 

On a side note, I might lead the K since if partner is void in clubs we want him/her to ruff right away and try to give us 2 heart ruffs (and he/she would bid this way with KQJxxx in hearts and a stiff club), which is more likely to happen if we lead the K than the A. The 8 should suffice as suit preference for hearts at trick 2 if partner can't ruff, so this also doesn't cost if clubs are 5-5-2-1 around the table.

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Can I also just add that I'm sorta confused with partner's shape? They have to be something like 3730 or 3721, since I feel like with 6 hearts and 3 diamonds they would raise diamonds instead at imps. I guess sometimes partner has 4 spades and the doubler didn't get the joke with the 2 competition, and partner didn't want to X either cause his/her spades are lousy or for fear of them "finding their club fit"
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I hate these club leads. My view on how this defense should go is to take it slow and score your clubs/diamonds/hearts later when they have no trumps. I would lead the SJ.

 

Also of course I would not double, dummy could easily have 5 spades and they might make pretty easily.

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