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hanp

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I think this is closer than the voting so far, receiving the lead in 3NT will be very important.

 

If we avoid a spade lead in 3NT we are almost home, in 4 things can go messy if ruffing spades with QJ10 equals losing trumps.

 

I'd try 3NT at MPs, in IMPs its very clsoe and I have no idea what I'd do at the table.

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why 3NT at MP and not at IMP? I thought the argument was that at MP 4M is better than 3NT if there is at least 1 trick difference and at IMPs 4M scores better only if there is at least 2 tricks difference.

Because missdefences allow you a lot of MPs in 3NT, but there is often a lot less work to do in 4M. Maybe because I am used of weak fields, but scoring 460 when everyone is scoring 420 happens a lot to me. In 3NT people don't wanna score their aces :(

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