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[hv=d=w&v=b&s=sat987haxdkjtxcxx]133|100|Scoring: IMP

(3)-ps-(ps)-??[/hv]

If we assume (3C) has a range of 5-10 or 4-9 (ask!), GOP is expected to have

 

(28 - (15/2 or 13/2))/2= (20.5 or 21.5)/2= 10 1/4 or 10 3/4 HCP

 

12 + 10.5 = 22.5

We rate to be at least 50% likely to be safe at the three level.

 

A similar calculation can show that We are more than 50% likely to have a fit.

 

As long as GOP knows not to jump the bidding unless they have 12+ Dummy Points (I =am= Balancing after all), I bid 3S.

 

WTP?

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