Trumpace Posted August 2, 2010 Report Share Posted August 2, 2010 You are South and manage to reach a small slam in spades. LHO leads the ♥A and you see [hv=d=s&v=n&n=st32h2dajt9876ca3&s=sakqj8hq3dk4cjt65]133|200|Scoring: IMPLead ♥A and ♣ switch. Contract 6♠.[/hv] LHO wins the ♥A and switches to a club, which you decide to win :ph34r: Plan the play. (As usual, Adv/+ please don't spoil it too early). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dustinst22 Posted August 2, 2010 Report Share Posted August 2, 2010 I'll take a stab at it. At trick 3, lead the A ♠ and K ♠. If both opponents follow suit, lead K ♦ then to A♦ ruffing high on a third round. There is roughly a 30% chance an opponent started with a singleton or void in ♦ and 3♠ and can ruff my ♦ leads. Let me know if my math is off here, but it seems to be a 70% chance of success assuming spades broke. If spades didn't break, it seems I will have to run trumps and play for a drop in diamonds. At the table, I might lead the J♦ from dummy before spades only because of the high % of players that will automatically cover with the Q. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trumpace Posted August 3, 2010 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2010 Well done! I think you have it right (I didn't verify the math, though). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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