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Round 1, Board 16


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[hv=d=w&v=e&w=saq9h5dt74caj8542&e=sk872h93dkq982ck3]266|100|Scoring: MP

Board 16. If south can, he will overcall 2 (with or without a jump). North will raise to 3 if possible. After that NS are out of the bidding.

 

3Hx = 10; 4Cew = 8, 5Dew = 6, 4Sew = 5, 4Dew = 5, 3Sew=4, 3Hns = 3, 5Cew = 2[/hv]

 

3H S 6

4S E 6

3Hx S 4

4S W 2

3H N 2

5D E 2

5C E 1

3C W 1

5S E 1

3S E 1

4D E 1

 

 

5S E mohitz/akjq

5D E olegru - driver733

5D E tylere / bid_em_up

5C E kristen33/jillybean

4S W East4Evil/sohcahtoa

4S W ant590 - crayzeejim

4S E peachy/lg62

4S E elianna/awm

4S E rogerClee/cherdano

4S E gnasher/catch22

4S E jdonn/gib

4S E sallyally/joylson

4D E kfay/jchiu

3S E Codo-Fluffy

3Hx S mbodell - javabean

3Hx S Flycycle/Wackojack

3Hx S CanadaGrl/Gerardo

3Hx S zasanya/ravia6

3H S karlson/threenobob

3H S jlall/hanp

3H S tlgoodwin/timg

3H S helene_t-agusaris

3H S cascade kermit

3H S Siegmund/MSchmahl

3H N lobowolf/bkjswan

3H N bluecalm/redds

3C W Hrothgar/Free

NA 0 j0i/gwnn

NA 0 Tomi2-JHDW

NA 0 Vampyr/Lamford

 

Sorted correctly

Edited by inquiry
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Hmm, I don't understand why 4 is so much better than 4. It seems to me that the latter contract is more likely to make. In fact you even scored 5 as much better than 5... is there some reason diamonds is more likely to make five while clubs is more likely to make four?

 

It also seems that 3X will usually be down one (you get two clubs, two spades, and a diamond) which is only +100. Sure there is a chance at +300, but there is also a chance at -530. On the other hand, 4 will almost always make. So it seems like 4 is probably a better spot than 3X on average?

 

My scores would've been more like:

 

4 = 10

4 = 9

defend 3X = 7

5 = 5

4, 5 = 4

3, defend 3 = 3

 

Note that this actually makes my own score worse...

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Yes, MBodell and I played 3X here. Maybe we got peachy's 4?

 

Also, we discussed it afterwards and I can't see how 3X scores a ten? It will roll home at least some of the time, and even nipping it a trick is only +100 when we have quite a good shot at +130 in either minor. So I guess, like awm, I am volunteering for a demotion.

 

Edit: wrote some rubbish after this, but then realized it was rubbish

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When I sorted the results originally, somehow the player and the contracts got seperated from each other. I did have the right contracts for everyone recorded, the problem was when I copied and sorted. It should be right now.
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Why would the responder do anything other than pass? He has a purely defensive hand with no prospects of game and no reason to want to bid on with 2 small hearts (2 heart losers), and a massive 2 card fit for clubs. I would be happy to defend, but not so happy that I would have much reason to think I was beating them.

 

Opener is the one with a stiff heart, and great defense and also good offense in context of having a minimum precision 2C opener.

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My thinking was:

 

My partner could have passed with minimum but he bid 3

At the time I was thinking that I could have much weaker hand but that is probably wrong. (just those habits, opposite "polish precision" with 5+clubs people bid 2 with every kind of crap to scramble to better contract).

 

Looking at it now it in fact looks like opener should've reopened.

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