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After a Michaels cue bid


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This is interesting. Looking at the two hands together I think game is well below the odds (that heart finesse is significantly less than 50-50 after the opening)

 

Looking at the West hand alone

 

1) Hands short of one of p's suits and long in the other make a lot of tricks in these auctions but...

2) That diamond suit will only be worth a significant offensive trick on perhaps half the deals or less

 

So I think its really close between an invite and a blast to game. I'd probably bid 4 at teams even none vulnerable and invite at pairs. but its also true that 4 might technically be a good save against their 3NT [6 clubs , A A K] Whether declarer will take the deep club finesse is another matter.

 

As to the play in 4, if south turns up with any of the three none heart aces I think I am playing for the drop in hearts

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This is interesting. Looking at the two hands together I think game is well below the odds (that heart finesse is significantly less than 50-50 after the opening)

 

Looking at the West hand alone

 

1) Hands short of one of p's suits and long in the other make a lot of tricks in these auctions but...

2) That diamond suit will only be worth a significant offensive trick on perhaps half the deals or less

 

So I think its really close between an invite and a blast to game. I'd probably bid 4 at teams even none vulnerable and invite at pairs. but its also true that 4 might technically be a good save against their 3NT [6 clubs , A A K] Whether declarer will take the deep club finesse is another matter.

 

As to the play in 4, if south turns up with any of the three none heart aces I think I am playing for the drop in hearts

if you swap the minor holdings in either hand it has a pretty negative impact as well nevertheless 3 is THE call :P for the west hand IMO

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if you swap the minor holdings in either hand it has a pretty negative impact as well nevertheless 3 is THE call :) for the west hand IMO

Yes, I agree because partner will always have the KQ instead of the Ace and the QJ instead of the King :P

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Well I admit I might not bid 2 from East I'm used to intermediate+ two suited bids, but I know that I should be a little less strict when nonvulnerable and when I bid with the majors. I might bid 1 or 2 and thereupon miss hearts quite surely. Life is a never-ending learning process.
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I'm not sure about "standard" responses to the cuebid - is 3 invitational? My partnerships play that a jump is preemptive and 2NT is the invitational/asking bid.

We play that a re-cue is invitational+ (sequence would be (1)-2-(p)-3...)

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if you swap the minor holdings in either hand it has a pretty negative impact as well nevertheless 3 is THE call  :)  for the west hand IMO

Yes, I agree because partner will always have the KQ instead of the Ace and the QJ instead of the King :(

Okay I'm sold!! Time for a simul to choose the right call after the Michael's call.

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