kgr Posted June 5, 2010 Report Share Posted June 5, 2010 [hv=d=e&v=b&n=sq73ha543d4caqt65&s=sajt542hkq9dq7ckj]133|200|Scoring: MPEW always pass:1S-2C2NT-3S4C-4D4NT-5S6S-AP[/hv]LHO leads ♥6.What is %-play to make this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanoi5 Posted June 5, 2010 Report Share Posted June 5, 2010 ♥A and ♠Q? Around 50% I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted June 5, 2010 Report Share Posted June 5, 2010 Definitely take the finesse, it's not close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgr Posted June 6, 2010 Author Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 I was mislead by commentators, who said that declarer was gonna make +1. LHO had ♠K singleton and declarer did go -2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lmilne Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 lol, commentators were GIBing it up, as per normal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pooltuna Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 I was mislead by commentators, who said that declarer was gonna make +1. LHO had ♠K singleton and declarer did go -2. perhaps they were of the opinion that playing for the stiff K♠ combined with playing ♣ for ♦ pitches was better than the straight finesse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 yes they were but they were wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pooltuna Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 yes they were but they were wrong. you mean they were "demonstrating their humanity" :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 they were providing an unfortunate counterargument to my suggestion that commentators should not be discouraged from using GIB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ceeb Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 Combining chances is a great principle, but there is also a principle that a lot of small chances may not add up to much. Playing ♠A then ♣s is at most 30% total chance:Singleton king either side -- about 12%Long ♣ and long ♠ with RHO -- if lead shows ♥ length, about 10%♣ 3-3 and RHO has ♠Kxx -- 7%Long ♣ and long ♠ with LHO (along with the long ♥s) -- 1%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OleBerg Posted June 6, 2010 Report Share Posted June 6, 2010 Much would be achieved, if some commentators could only see two hands. If Roland asks me to comment again I'll try it. (Duct tape.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.