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World Cup 2010 Prediction Contest


Aberlour10

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After the semis I hop for a replay of the 74 final with the same ending...Spain winning the bronze against Uruguay.

 

Spain was my top favourite of the title before the WC started, second seated was Argentina, third Brazil, Holland and Germany.

 

I have changed my mind. Of course it is easily possible that we meet the Dutch on Saturday. But with all respect to the contenders, after the perfomances from the last week, I would bet my money on these two teams.

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My predictions are 2 and 1.

Btw, betfair has odds of 1:4 for Uruguay to reach the final - isn't this crazy? I would think Uruguay has much better chance than that to qualify.

I am not so sure.

 

Given that they are missing the player who gets them through with both his hands and his arms, it might prove next to impossible to win.

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I'd say Uraguay has 30-40%. 25% is too low for any team at this stage.

 

But betfair doesn't estimate the chance that a team will advance, it will estimate how many people will want to bet on a certain team given some odds. Using that, 25% might be reasonable.

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I disagree. I don't think a home country is necessarily worth fighting, dying, or cheering for.

I agree. Especially if the country in question is slowly sinking into the sea.

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