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Lead vs. 3NT


paulhar

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I can't remember the thread (Ben surely knows)...

Some time ago I conducted a simulation and study about the lead against the auction 1N-3N when the leader has from 0 to 7 HCP. The results were surprising, one common rule was that with 4333 hands you should lead your 3 card major not the 4 card suit. Even when you have values in the 4 card suit and nothing in the 3 card suit.

3 card majors were better than 3 card minors since the 1N-3N auction tends to make your pd have more major suit cards than responder usually.

The logic behind this is that the best approach to defeat 3N when holding a bad hand is to find pd's good suit and after 1N-3N when you have 3 in a major there are chances that pd has 5.

 

So no matter the result a spade is the correct theorical lead on this hand.

 

Luis

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my reasoning was simple... if i lead a heart i throw away 2, possibly 3, tricks (potentially)... the spade has a chance to hit partner big time, and the 8 shows that i want him to continue spades only if he thinks it's right

 

true, leading the low heart can work out... i'd bet against it tho.. with 5 cards it's a little easier, tho i still have no entries

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